TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11930144
Played May 23Finished
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131161148111012
Oleg Pavlyuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
How it is goingIvan Kozachuk above · Oleg Pavlyuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 97 set 5, 10-12
97 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kozachuk 2–1 Oleg Pavlyuk Oleg Pavlyuk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kozachuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavlyuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 1.83 / Pavlyuk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kozachuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #11930144
Kozachuk1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Pavlyuk1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKozachuk2wins
AwayPavlyuk1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKozachuk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozachuk2Pavlyuk1n = 3Kozachuk took 2 of 3
S2Kozachuk2Pavlyuk1n = 3Kozachuk took 2 of 3
S3Kozachuk2Pavlyuk1n = 3Kozachuk took 2 of 3
S4Kozachuk2Pavlyuk1n = 3Kozachuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKozachukPavlyukK − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.339.0+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukPavlyukBasisWin rate · lifetime670 / 1405 vs 37 / 9247.7%40.2%670 / 1405 vs 37 / 92Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozachukKozachuk 1.83/Pavlyuk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kozachuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pavlyuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 22 · 17:05I. Kozachuk—3O. Pavlyuk—1
LJul 4 · 16:05I. Kozachuk—2O. Pavlyuk—3
WJul 4 · 24:00I. Kozachuk—3O. Pavlyuk—1
I. Kozachuk10
WSep 15 · 10:35I. Romaniak2.101011191I. Kozachuk1.6712118113LSep 15 · 09:35I. Kozachuk2.3886100S. Rak1.531111123WSep 15 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.83115139113D. Shcherbak1.83511111192LSep 15 · 07:05I. Kozachuk2.101161141D. Pesternikov1.6751113113WSep 15 · 05:05I. Kozachuk2.501111113O. Bindas1.509880LSep 14 · 18:05O. Bindas1.4491111123I. Kozachuk2.631136101LSep 14 · 17:05I. Kozachuk2.5011119832S. Rak1.50891111113LSep 14 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.8010860D. Shcherbak1.911211113LSep 14 · 14:35I. Kozachuk2.00611691D. Pesternikov1.7311611113WSep 14 · 12:35I. Kozachuk1.671112143I. Romaniak2.10410120
O. Pavlyuk10
WSep 17 · 15:00D. Neborak1.731212128122O. Pavlyuk2.0014101011143WSep 17 · 14:00O. Pavlyuk1.801111113I. Hermakivskyi1.914470WSep 17 · 13:00O. Ivchuk1.6111119832O. Pavlyuk2.20691111113LMay 23 · 11:35S. Rak1.501111113O. Pavlyuk2.509680LMay 23 · 10:05O. Pavlyuk2.385950A. Zeniuk1.531111113WMay 23 · 08:05Y. Kravets2.2068100O. Pavlyuk1.611111123WMay 23 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.83121171142O. Pavlyuk1.831091113113LMay 22 · 19:05O. Pavlyuk2.00711115102D. Shcherbak1.73115811123LMay 22 · 17:05I. Kozachuk2.1011117113O. Pavlyuk1.67991141LMay 22 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.001111113O. Pavlyuk1.738840
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