TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11926283
Played May 22Finished
Oleg Pavlyuk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111151185111012
Denys Shcherbak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingOleg Pavlyuk above · Denys Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 91 set 5, 10-12
91 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Pavlyuk 0–1 Denys Shcherbak Oleg Pavlyuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavlyuk 2.00 / Shcherbak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shcherbak)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #11926283
Pavlyuk2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Shcherbak1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 57 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it77% 44 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePavlyuk0wins
AwayShcherbak1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderShcherbak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPavlyukShcherbakP − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.047.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavlyukShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 91 vs 153 / 29740.7%51.5%37 / 91 vs 153 / 297Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakPavlyuk 2.00/Shcherbak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 19 · 16:05O. Pavlyuk—2D. Shcherbak—3
O. Pavlyuk10
WSep 17 · 15:00D. Neborak1.731212128122O. Pavlyuk2.0014101011143WSep 17 · 14:00O. Pavlyuk1.801111113I. Hermakivskyi1.914470WSep 17 · 13:00O. Ivchuk1.6111119832O. Pavlyuk2.20691111113LMay 23 · 11:35S. Rak1.501111113O. Pavlyuk2.509680LMay 23 · 10:05O. Pavlyuk2.385950A. Zeniuk1.531111113WMay 23 · 08:05Y. Kravets2.2068100O. Pavlyuk1.611111123WMay 23 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.83121171142O. Pavlyuk1.831091113113WMay 23 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.831111118102O. Pavlyuk1.83136411123LMay 22 · 17:05I. Kozachuk2.1011117113O. Pavlyuk1.67991141LMay 22 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.001111113O. Pavlyuk1.738840
D. Shcherbak10
WSep 15 · 11:05D. Pesternikov1.28991181D. Shcherbak3.5011118113LSep 15 · 10:05O. Bindas1.401111113D. Shcherbak2.757650LSep 15 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.83115139113D. Shcherbak1.83511111192LSep 15 · 06:35S. Rak1.671111113D. Shcherbak2.102980WSep 15 · 04:35I. Romaniak2.006890D. Shcherbak1.731111113WSep 14 · 18:35D. Pesternikov1.281011121142D. Shcherbak3.50129147113LSep 14 · 17:35I. Romaniak2.001111113D. Shcherbak1.739880WSep 14 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.8010860D. Shcherbak1.911211113LSep 14 · 14:05S. Rak1.67116411113D. Shcherbak2.1051111952WSep 14 · 12:05O. Bindas1.3311440D. Shcherbak3.251311113
Upcoming Matches
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