TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126543
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleh Bindas
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211411811––––
Serhii Rak
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeOleh Bindas to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Bindas above · Serhii Rak below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 47 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Oleh Bindas at 78.5%
47 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Bindas 70–14 Serhii Rak Serhii Rak has won 14 of their 84 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Bindas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-14 in 84
Bindas
Wrong
gap of 56 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bindas 1743 vs Rak 1833
Rak
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bindas 20% vs Rak 60%
Rak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bindas 40% vs Rak 70%
Rak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bindas -2 · Rak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Bindas) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBindas 1.33 / Rak 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Bindas)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13126543
Bindas1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 137 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it96% 76 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it80% 106 of 133
Rak3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 37 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBindas7wins
AwayRak3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBindas leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBindas75%6 of 8
AwayRakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bindas8Rak2n = 10Bindas took 8 of 10
S2Bindas5Rak5n = 10split evenly
S3Bindas7Rak3n = 10Bindas took 7 of 10
S4Bindas2Rak5n = 7Rak took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBindasRakB − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.233.0+6.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBindasRakBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 728 vs 509 / 92263.5%55.2%462 / 728 vs 509 / 922Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BindasBindas 1.33/Rak 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.4%
Bindas · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 20:00O. Bindas32117681S. Rak4071111113
WJul 5 · 20:00O. Bindas521111811113S. Rak4339111372
LJul 4 · 05:35O. Bindas3910111171S. Rak4512139113
LJul 3 · 14:05O. Bindas33119941S. Rak4071111113
WJun 30 · 05:35O. Bindas331111113S. Rak197660
WJun 29 · 15:05O. Bindas49119117113S. Rak3431141152
WJun 27 · 05:35O. Bindas341211113S. Rak2510960
WJun 22 · 14:25O. Bindas4291111113S. Rak34119951
WJun 13 · 11:35O. Bindas43111011113S. Rak25412271
WJun 12 · 13:35O. Bindas351113113S. Rak2571170
O. Bindas10
LSep 14 · 13:35O. Bindas1.449590I. Romaniak2.631111113LSep 14 · 12:05O. Bindas1.3311440D. Shcherbak3.251311113WSep 14 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.83671181O. Bindas1.8311115113LSep 14 · 01:30R. Lazebnyi2.25951111113O. Bindas1.5711114682LSep 14 · 24:00I. Kozachuk2.501111113O. Bindas1.509560WSep 13 · 22:00D. Shcherbak3.00114120O. Bindas1.361311143LSep 13 · 20:00S. Rak3.4071111113O. Bindas1.30117681WJul 6 · 02:30D. Pesternikov2.201146131O. Bindas1.6171111153LJul 6 · 01:30D. Shcherbak3.251111113O. Bindas1.339550WJul 6 · 24:00I. Kozachuk2.50119571O. Bindas1.5031111113
S. Rak10
WSep 14 · 14:05S. Rak1.67116411113D. Shcherbak2.1051111952LSep 14 · 13:05D. Pesternikov1.441111113S. Rak2.636510LSep 14 · 02:00S. Rak1.50791141I. Kozachuk2.5011119113WSep 14 · 24:30S. Rak2.50111711113D. Pesternikov1.5011611892WSep 13 · 23:00S. Rak1.731111113D. Shcherbak2.005890WSep 13 · 21:30S. Rak1.33111111113R. Lazebnyi3.25713461WSep 13 · 20:00S. Rak3.4071111113O. Bindas1.30117681WSep 11 · 02:00S. Rak1.571111113I. Kozachuk2.256730LSep 11 · 24:30S. Rak1.30101070N. Kovalchuk3.401212113WSep 10 · 23:00S. Rak1.6781211113D. Shcherbak2.101110481
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.