TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122060
Played Sep 13Finished
Denys Shcherbak
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11134111214––––
Oleh Bindas
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeOleh Bindas to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Shcherbak above · Oleh Bindas below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 65 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Oleh Bindas at 70.8%
65 points played in total.
H2H Denys Shcherbak 11–26 Oleh Bindas Denys Shcherbak has won 11 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bindas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-26 in 37
Bindas
Correct
gap of 15 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shcherbak 1732 vs Bindas 1782
Bindas
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shcherbak 40% vs Bindas 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shcherbak 50% vs Bindas 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shcherbak -2 · Bindas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Bindas) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bindas form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 3.00 / Bindas 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Bindas)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13122060
Shcherbak3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 100 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back17% 24 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 92
Bindas1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 139 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it98% 78 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it81% 108 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShcherbak3wins
AwayBindas7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBindas leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShcherbak75%3 of 4
AwayBindas100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shcherbak4Bindas6n = 10Bindas took 6 of 10
S2Shcherbak4Bindas6n = 10Bindas took 6 of 10
S3Shcherbak3Bindas7n = 10Bindas took 7 of 10
S4Shcherbak0Bindas5n = 5Bindas took 5 of 5
S5Shcherbak2Bindas1n = 3Shcherbak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricShcherbakBindasS − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.438.8−5.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakBindasBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 631 vs 460 / 72251.8%63.7%327 / 631 vs 460 / 722Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BindasShcherbak 3.00/Bindas 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Bindas · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bindas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 6 · 01:30D. Shcherbak331111113O. Bindas199550
WJul 4 · 11:05D. Shcherbak531112910113O. Bindas45910111232
LJun 30 · 11:05D. Shcherbak31411971O. Bindas4011711113
LJun 29 · 13:35D. Shcherbak165560O. Bindas331111113
LJun 23 · 10:55D. Shcherbak356111081O. Bindas4311912113
WJun 22 · 15:55D. Shcherbak48135127113O. Bindas501111101172
LJun 16 · 08:35D. Shcherbak215970O. Bindas331111113
LJun 15 · 17:05D. Shcherbak29121070O. Bindas371412113
LJun 12 · 02:30D. Shcherbak227780O. Bindas331111113
LJun 10 · 08:35D. Shcherbak46131012742O. Bindas5511121011113
D. Shcherbak10
LSep 13 · 21:00D. Pesternikov1.281111113D. Shcherbak3.506780LSep 11 · 03:00D. Shcherbak1.6711148762I. Romaniak2.102121111113WSep 11 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.8011911962D. Shcherbak1.91611411113LSep 10 · 23:00S. Rak1.6781211113D. Shcherbak2.101110481WSep 10 · 22:00D. Shcherbak1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.006560WSep 10 · 21:00N. Kovalchuk2.00101111482D. Shcherbak1.73129311113WSep 7 · 18:25Y. Kravets2.506780D. Shcherbak1.501111113LSep 7 · 17:25R. Lazebnyi2.7511117113D. Shcherbak1.40671161LSep 7 · 15:55D. Pesternikov1.2811118113D. Shcherbak3.50941161WSep 7 · 13:55S. Rak1.67811481D. Shcherbak2.1011711113
O. Bindas10
LSep 13 · 20:00S. Rak3.4071111113O. Bindas1.30117681WJul 6 · 02:30D. Pesternikov2.201146131O. Bindas1.6171111153LJul 6 · 01:30D. Shcherbak3.251111113O. Bindas1.339550WJul 6 · 24:00I. Kozachuk2.50119571O. Bindas1.5031111113LJul 5 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk5.50112811113O. Bindas1.1381111452WJul 5 · 20:00S. Rak3.7539111372O. Bindas1.251111811113LJul 4 · 11:05O. Bindas1.33910111232D. Shcherbak3.251112910113WJul 4 · 09:05I. Romaniak2.631091191O. Bindas1.4412115113WJul 4 · 08:05O. Bindas1.141112113R. Haiseniuk5.0081080LJul 4 · 07:05D. Pesternikov2.001111113O. Bindas1.739670
Upcoming Matches
D. Shcherbak
O. Bindas
Sep 14 · 24:00O. Bindas1.50I. Kozachuk2.50—Sep 14 · 01:30O. Bindas1.57R. Lazebnyi2.25—Sep 14 · 02:30O. Bindas1.83D. Pesternikov1.83—Sep 14 · 12:05O. Bindas1.36D. Shcherbak3.00—Sep 14 · 13:35O. Bindas1.44I. Romaniak2.63—Sep 14 · 15:05O. Bindas1.25S. Rak3.75—Sep 14 · 16:35O. Bindas1.73D. Pesternikov2.00—Sep 14 · 18:05O. Bindas1.50I. Kozachuk2.50—
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