TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12161788
Played Jul 6Finished
Denys Pesternikov
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1174116111315––
Oleh Bindas
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDenys Pesternikov above · Oleh Bindas below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 78 set 4, 13-15
78 points played in total.
H2H Denys Pesternikov 76–131 Oleh Bindas Denys Pesternikov has won 76 of their 207 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Bindas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bindas form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPesternikov 2.20 / Bindas 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Bindas)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12161788
Pesternikov2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog48% won 126 of 263
Down 0–1, comes back25% 35 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 77
Bindas1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 269 of 408
Up 2–0, closes it97% 153 of 158
Up 1–0, closes it83% 217 of 263
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePesternikov7wins
AwayBindas3wins
Pesternikov leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePesternikov80%4 of 5
AwayBindas40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pesternikov5Bindas5n = 10split evenly
S2Pesternikov7Bindas3n = 10Pesternikov took 7 of 10
S3Pesternikov7Bindas3n = 10Pesternikov took 7 of 10
S4Pesternikov4Bindas2n = 6Pesternikov took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPesternikovBindasP − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.334.0+1.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPesternikovBindasBasisWin rate · lifetime811 / 1603 vs 768 / 124050.6%61.9%811 / 1603 vs 768 / 1240Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BindasPesternikov 2.20/Bindas 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Bindas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bindas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 4 · 07:05D. Pesternikov331111113O. Bindas229670
LJun 30 · 09:05D. Pesternikov2671090O. Bindas341112113
LJun 29 · 16:35D. Pesternikov31115961O. Bindas4291111113
WJun 27 · 08:05D. Pesternikov4171112113O. Bindas371181081
WJun 23 · 05:25D. Pesternikov4211711133O. Bindas399118111
LJun 20 · 09:35D. Pesternikov303151021O. Bindas47111312113
WJun 15 · 18:05D. Pesternikov4151111143O. Bindas391179121
WJun 13 · 05:35D. Pesternikov351112123O. Bindas25510100
WJun 12 · 12:05D. Pesternikov331111113O. Bindas238960
WJun 12 · 24:30D. Pesternikov4181111113O. Bindas32118851
D. Pesternikov10
WSep 13 · 21:00D. Pesternikov1.281111113D. Shcherbak3.506780LSep 10 · 17:24B. Kohut1.6711117113D. Pesternikov2.10791191WSep 10 · 16:25D. Pesternikov2.251111113O. Bondarchuk1.576640LSep 10 · 15:25D. Pesternikov4.501117671A. Molochko1.1761911113LSep 10 · 13:55D. Pesternikov5.50116761N. Danyliuk1.1381111113LSep 10 · 12:55D. Pesternikov1.8098121172B. Kohut1.911111107113LSep 8 · 10:55D. Pesternikov1.337380N. Kovalchuk3.251111113LSep 8 · 08:55I. Romaniak2.75721211113D. Pesternikov1.40111110982WSep 8 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.171111113O. Hura4.508440WSep 8 · 06:55I. Kozachuk2.2511140982D. Pesternikov1.578121111113
O. Bindas10
LSep 13 · 20:00S. Rak3.4071111113O. Bindas1.30117681LJul 6 · 01:30D. Shcherbak3.251111113O. Bindas1.339550WJul 6 · 24:00I. Kozachuk2.50119571O. Bindas1.5031111113LJul 5 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk5.50112811113O. Bindas1.1381111452WJul 5 · 20:00S. Rak3.7539111372O. Bindas1.251111811113LJul 4 · 11:05O. Bindas1.33910111232D. Shcherbak3.251112910113WJul 4 · 09:05I. Romaniak2.631091191O. Bindas1.4412115113WJul 4 · 08:05O. Bindas1.141112113R. Haiseniuk5.0081080LJul 4 · 07:05D. Pesternikov2.001111113O. Bindas1.739670LJul 4 · 05:35O. Bindas1.2010111171S. Rak4.3312139113
Upcoming Matches
D. Pesternikov
Sep 13 · 22:30D. Pesternikov1.61I. Kozachuk2.20—Sep 13 · 23:30D. Pesternikov1.36R. Lazebnyi3.00—Sep 14 · 24:30D. Pesternikov1.50S. Rak2.50—Sep 14 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.83O. Bindas1.83—Sep 14 · 13:05D. Pesternikov1.50S. Rak2.50—Sep 14 · 15:35D. Pesternikov1.44I. Romaniak2.63—Sep 14 · 16:35D. Pesternikov2.00O. Bindas1.73—
O. Bindas
Sep 13 · 22:00O. Bindas1.36D. Shcherbak3.00—Sep 14 · 24:00O. Bindas1.50I. Kozachuk2.50—Sep 14 · 01:30O. Bindas1.57R. Lazebnyi2.25—Sep 14 · 02:30O. Bindas1.83D. Pesternikov1.83—Sep 14 · 12:05O. Bindas1.36D. Shcherbak3.00—Sep 14 · 15:05O. Bindas1.25S. Rak3.75—Sep 14 · 16:35O. Bindas1.73D. Pesternikov2.00—
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