TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12161853
Played Jul 6Finished
Denys Shcherbak
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115115––––
Oleh Bindas
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDenys Shcherbak above · Oleh Bindas below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5
52 points played in total.
H2H Denys Shcherbak 10–26 Oleh Bindas Denys Shcherbak has won 10 of their 36 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Bindas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bindas form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 3.25 / Bindas 1.33
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Bindas)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #12161853
Shcherbak3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 119 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back21% 28 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 86
Bindas1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 269 of 408
Up 2–0, closes it97% 153 of 158
Up 1–0, closes it83% 217 of 263
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShcherbak3wins
AwayBindas7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBindas leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShcherbak75%3 of 4
AwayBindas100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shcherbak4Bindas6n = 10Bindas took 6 of 10
S2Shcherbak4Bindas6n = 10Bindas took 6 of 10
S3Shcherbak2Bindas8n = 10Bindas took 8 of 10
S4Shcherbak1Bindas5n = 6Bindas took 5 of 6
S5Shcherbak2Bindas1n = 3Shcherbak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricShcherbakBindasS − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.039.6−5.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakBindasBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 436 vs 768 / 123953.7%62%234 / 436 vs 768 / 1239Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BindasShcherbak 3.25/Bindas 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.9%
Bindas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 4 · 11:05D. Shcherbak531112910113O. Bindas45910111232
LJun 30 · 11:05D. Shcherbak31411971O. Bindas4011711113
LJun 29 · 13:35D. Shcherbak165560O. Bindas331111113
LJun 23 · 10:55D. Shcherbak356111081O. Bindas4311912113
WJun 22 · 15:55D. Shcherbak48135127113O. Bindas501111101172
LJun 16 · 08:35D. Shcherbak215970O. Bindas331111113
LJun 15 · 17:05D. Shcherbak29121070O. Bindas371412113
LJun 12 · 02:30D. Shcherbak227780O. Bindas331111113
LJun 10 · 08:35D. Shcherbak46131012742O. Bindas5511121011113
WMay 12 · 16:05D. Shcherbak3911116113O. Bindas27641161
D. Shcherbak10
LSep 13 · 21:00D. Pesternikov1.281111113D. Shcherbak3.506780LSep 11 · 03:00D. Shcherbak1.6711148762I. Romaniak2.102121111113WSep 11 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.8011911962D. Shcherbak1.91611411113LSep 10 · 23:00S. Rak1.6781211113D. Shcherbak2.101110481WSep 10 · 22:00D. Shcherbak1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.006560WSep 10 · 21:00N. Kovalchuk2.00101111482D. Shcherbak1.73129311113WSep 7 · 18:25Y. Kravets2.506780D. Shcherbak1.501111113LSep 7 · 17:25R. Lazebnyi2.7511117113D. Shcherbak1.40671161LSep 7 · 15:55D. Pesternikov1.2811118113D. Shcherbak3.50941161WSep 7 · 13:55S. Rak1.67811481D. Shcherbak2.1011711113
O. Bindas10
LSep 13 · 20:00S. Rak3.4071111113O. Bindas1.30117681WJul 6 · 02:30D. Pesternikov2.201146131O. Bindas1.6171111153WJul 6 · 24:00I. Kozachuk2.50119571O. Bindas1.5031111113LJul 5 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk5.50112811113O. Bindas1.1381111452WJul 5 · 20:00S. Rak3.7539111372O. Bindas1.251111811113LJul 4 · 11:05O. Bindas1.33910111232D. Shcherbak3.251112910113WJul 4 · 09:05I. Romaniak2.631091191O. Bindas1.4412115113WJul 4 · 08:05O. Bindas1.141112113R. Haiseniuk5.0081080LJul 4 · 07:05D. Pesternikov2.001111113O. Bindas1.739670LJul 4 · 05:35O. Bindas1.2010111171S. Rak4.3312139113
Upcoming Matches
D. Shcherbak
O. Bindas
Sep 13 · 22:00O. Bindas1.36D. Shcherbak3.00—Sep 14 · 24:00O. Bindas1.50I. Kozachuk2.50—Sep 14 · 01:30O. Bindas1.57R. Lazebnyi2.25—Sep 14 · 02:30O. Bindas1.83D. Pesternikov1.83—Sep 14 · 12:05O. Bindas1.36D. Shcherbak3.00—Sep 14 · 15:05O. Bindas1.25S. Rak3.75—Sep 14 · 16:35O. Bindas1.73D. Pesternikov2.00—
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