TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12153911
Played Jul 4Finished
Oleh Bindas
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121113119711––
Serhii Rak
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
How it is goingOleh Bindas above · Serhii Rak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 84 set 4, 7-11
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Bindas 69–12 Serhii Rak Serhii Rak has won 12 of their 81 meetings.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Bindas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBindas 1.20 / Rak 4.33
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Bindas)+10.8pp
Setka Cup · #12153911
Bindas1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 271 of 408
Up 2–0, closes it96% 154 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it82% 218 of 265
Rak4.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 43 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back14% 12 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBindas9wins
AwayRak1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBindas leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBindas88.9%8 of 9
AwayRakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bindas9Rak1n = 10Bindas took 9 of 10
S2Bindas7Rak3n = 10Bindas took 7 of 10
S3Bindas9Rak1n = 10Bindas took 9 of 10
S4Bindas2Rak2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBindasRakB − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match36.925.9+11.0per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBindasRakBasisWin rate · lifetime764 / 1231 vs 394 / 72062.1%54.7%764 / 1231 vs 394 / 720Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BindasBindas 1.20/Rak 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
89.1%
Bindas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 3 · 14:05O. Bindas33119941S. Rak4071111113
WJun 30 · 05:35O. Bindas331111113S. Rak197660
WJun 29 · 15:05O. Bindas49119117113S. Rak3431141152
WJun 27 · 05:35O. Bindas341211113S. Rak2510960
WJun 22 · 14:25O. Bindas4291111113S. Rak34119951
WJun 13 · 11:35O. Bindas43111011113S. Rak25412271
WJun 12 · 13:35O. Bindas351113113S. Rak2571170
WJun 11 · 21:00O. Bindas341111123S. Rak1853100
WMay 12 · 17:05O. Bindas331111113S. Rak247890
WMay 12 · 02:00O. Bindas331111113S. Rak153930
O. Bindas10
LSep 13 · 20:00S. Rak3.4071111113O. Bindas1.30117681WJul 6 · 02:30D. Pesternikov2.201146131O. Bindas1.6171111153LJul 6 · 01:30D. Shcherbak3.251111113O. Bindas1.339550WJul 6 · 24:00I. Kozachuk2.50119571O. Bindas1.5031111113LJul 5 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk5.50112811113O. Bindas1.1381111452WJul 5 · 20:00S. Rak3.7539111372O. Bindas1.251111811113LJul 4 · 11:05O. Bindas1.33910111232D. Shcherbak3.251112910113WJul 4 · 09:05I. Romaniak2.631091191O. Bindas1.4412115113WJul 4 · 08:05O. Bindas1.141112113R. Haiseniuk5.0081080LJul 4 · 07:05D. Pesternikov2.001111113O. Bindas1.739670
S. Rak10
WSep 13 · 20:00S. Rak3.4071111113O. Bindas1.30117681WSep 11 · 02:00S. Rak1.571111113I. Kozachuk2.256730LSep 11 · 24:30S. Rak1.30101070N. Kovalchuk3.401212113WSep 10 · 23:00S. Rak1.6781211113D. Shcherbak2.101110481WSep 10 · 21:30S. Rak1.441161112113I. Romaniak2.6391171492WSep 10 · 20:00S. Rak1.3051112113R. Haiseniuk3.401161071WSep 8 · 11:25S. Rak1.301112113O. Hura3.4081060WSep 8 · 09:25I. Kozachuk2.25117941S. Rak1.5751111113LSep 8 · 07:25I. Romaniak2.751111123S. Rak1.4046100LJul 5 · 20:00S. Rak3.7539111372O. Bindas1.251111811113
Upcoming Matches
O. Bindas
Sep 13 · 22:00O. Bindas1.36D. Shcherbak3.00—Sep 14 · 24:00O. Bindas1.50I. Kozachuk2.50—Sep 14 · 01:30O. Bindas1.57R. Lazebnyi2.25—Sep 14 · 02:30O. Bindas1.83D. Pesternikov1.83—Sep 14 · 12:05O. Bindas1.36D. Shcherbak3.00—Sep 14 · 15:05O. Bindas1.25S. Rak3.75—Sep 14 · 16:35O. Bindas1.73D. Pesternikov2.00—
S. Rak
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