TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12154877
Played Jul 4Finished
Oleh Bindas
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91110121191210311
Denys Shcherbak
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingOleh Bindas above · Denys Shcherbak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 98 set 5, 3-11
98 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Bindas 26–9 Denys Shcherbak Denys Shcherbak has won 9 of their 35 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Bindas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shcherbak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBindas 1.33 / Shcherbak 3.25
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Bindas)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #12154877
Bindas1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 271 of 408
Up 2–0, closes it96% 154 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it82% 218 of 265
Shcherbak3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 117 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back20% 27 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBindas7wins
AwayShcherbak3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBindas leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBindas100%6 of 6
AwayShcherbak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bindas6Shcherbak4n = 10Bindas took 6 of 10
S2Bindas6Shcherbak4n = 10Bindas took 6 of 10
S3Bindas8Shcherbak2n = 10Bindas took 8 of 10
S4Bindas5Shcherbak1n = 6Bindas took 5 of 6
S5Bindas1Shcherbak2n = 3Shcherbak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBindasShcherbakB − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.734.0+5.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBindasShcherbakBasisWin rate · lifetime766 / 1235 vs 231 / 43262%53.5%766 / 1235 vs 231 / 432Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BindasBindas 1.33/Shcherbak 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.9%
Bindas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 30 · 11:05O. Bindas4011711113D. Shcherbak31411971
WJun 29 · 13:35O. Bindas331111113D. Shcherbak165560
WJun 23 · 10:55O. Bindas4311912113D. Shcherbak356111081
LJun 22 · 15:55O. Bindas501111101172D. Shcherbak48135127113
WJun 16 · 08:35O. Bindas331111113D. Shcherbak215970
WJun 15 · 17:05O. Bindas371412113D. Shcherbak29121070
WJun 12 · 02:30O. Bindas331111113D. Shcherbak227780
WJun 10 · 08:35O. Bindas5511121011113D. Shcherbak46131012742
LMay 12 · 16:05O. Bindas27641161D. Shcherbak3911116113
LMay 11 · 20:30O. Bindas461010111142D. Shcherbak53121299113
O. Bindas10
LSep 13 · 20:00S. Rak3.4071111113O. Bindas1.30117681WJul 6 · 02:30D. Pesternikov2.201146131O. Bindas1.6171111153LJul 6 · 01:30D. Shcherbak3.251111113O. Bindas1.339550WJul 6 · 24:00I. Kozachuk2.50119571O. Bindas1.5031111113LJul 5 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk5.50112811113O. Bindas1.1381111452WJul 5 · 20:00S. Rak3.7539111372O. Bindas1.251111811113WJul 4 · 09:05I. Romaniak2.631091191O. Bindas1.4412115113WJul 4 · 08:05O. Bindas1.141112113R. Haiseniuk5.0081080LJul 4 · 07:05D. Pesternikov2.001111113O. Bindas1.739670LJul 4 · 05:35O. Bindas1.2010111171S. Rak4.3312139113
D. Shcherbak10
LSep 13 · 21:00D. Pesternikov1.281111113D. Shcherbak3.506780LSep 11 · 03:00D. Shcherbak1.6711148762I. Romaniak2.102121111113WSep 11 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.8011911962D. Shcherbak1.91611411113LSep 10 · 23:00S. Rak1.6781211113D. Shcherbak2.101110481WSep 10 · 22:00D. Shcherbak1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.006560WSep 10 · 21:00N. Kovalchuk2.00101111482D. Shcherbak1.73129311113WSep 7 · 18:25Y. Kravets2.506780D. Shcherbak1.501111113LSep 7 · 17:25R. Lazebnyi2.7511117113D. Shcherbak1.40671161LSep 7 · 15:55D. Pesternikov1.2811118113D. Shcherbak3.50941161WJul 6 · 01:30D. Shcherbak3.251111113O. Bindas1.339550
Upcoming Matches
O. Bindas
Sep 13 · 22:00O. Bindas1.36D. Shcherbak3.00—Sep 14 · 24:00O. Bindas1.50I. Kozachuk2.50—Sep 14 · 01:30O. Bindas1.57R. Lazebnyi2.25—Sep 14 · 02:30O. Bindas1.83D. Pesternikov1.83—Sep 14 · 12:05O. Bindas1.36D. Shcherbak3.00—Sep 14 · 15:05O. Bindas1.25S. Rak3.75—Sep 14 · 16:35O. Bindas1.73D. Pesternikov2.00—
D. Shcherbak
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