TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122248
Played Sep 14Finished
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911511114116118
Oleh Bindas
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Lazebnyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Lazebnyi above · Oleh Bindas below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 87 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ruslan Lazebnyi at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:12What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Bindas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lazebnyi 1577 vs Bindas 1778
Bindas
Wrong
both rated, 201 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lazebnyi 20% vs Bindas 40%
Bindas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lazebnyi 50% vs Bindas 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lazebnyi -4 · Bindas -1
Lazebnyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Bindas) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bindas form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLazebnyi 2.25 / Bindas 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Bindas)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122248
Lazebnyi2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 17 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back20% 5 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Bindas1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 139 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it98% 78 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it81% 108 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLazebnyiBindasBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 122 vs 461 / 72449.2%63.7%60 / 122 vs 461 / 724Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BindasLazebnyi 2.25/Bindas 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Bindas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lazebnyi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Lazebnyi10
LSep 13 · 23:30D. Pesternikov1.361111113R. Lazebnyi3.006390LSep 13 · 21:30S. Rak1.33111111113R. Lazebnyi3.25713461LSep 13 · 20:30I. Kozachuk1.611114123R. Lazebnyi2.20612100LSep 12 · 11:35N. Kovalchuk1.801615113R. Lazebnyi1.91141350WSep 12 · 10:05R. Lazebnyi1.8091111113R. Haiseniuk1.91117751WSep 12 · 08:05I. Romaniak1.836790R. Lazebnyi1.831111113WSep 12 · 06:05V. Plishylo2.20481191R. Lazebnyi1.6111116113LSep 12 · 05:05Y. Kravets1.91101111123R. Lazebnyi1.801272101WSep 11 · 18:05N. Kovalchuk1.618680R. Lazebnyi2.201111113WSep 11 · 17:05R. Lazebnyi1.8313115123Y. Kravets1.8311411101
O. Bindas10
WSep 14 · 02:30D. Pesternikov1.83671181O. Bindas1.8311115113LSep 14 · 24:00I. Kozachuk2.501111113O. Bindas1.509560WSep 13 · 22:00D. Shcherbak3.00114120O. Bindas1.361311143LSep 13 · 20:00S. Rak3.4071111113O. Bindas1.30117681WJul 6 · 02:30D. Pesternikov2.201146131O. Bindas1.6171111153LJul 6 · 01:30D. Shcherbak3.251111113O. Bindas1.339550WJul 6 · 24:00I. Kozachuk2.50119571O. Bindas1.5031111113LJul 5 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk5.50112811113O. Bindas1.1381111452WJul 5 · 20:00S. Rak3.7539111372O. Bindas1.251111811113LJul 4 · 11:05O. Bindas1.33910111232D. Shcherbak3.251112910113
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