TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116760
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Plishylo
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411811116911––
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:45 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeRuslan Lazebnyi to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Plishylo above · Ruslan Lazebnyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ruslan Lazebnyi at 58.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Plishylo 2–4 Ruslan Lazebnyi Volodymyr Plishylo has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:45What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lazebnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Lazebnyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plishylo 1565 vs Lazebnyi 1616
Lazebnyi
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plishylo 60% vs Lazebnyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plishylo 50% vs Lazebnyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plishylo +1 · Lazebnyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Lazebnyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plishylo form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlishylo 2.20 / Lazebnyi 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Lazebnyi)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116760
Plishylo2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 88 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Lazebnyi1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 36 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it68% 26 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePlishylo2wins
AwayLazebnyi4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLazebnyi leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlishylon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLazebnyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plishylo2Lazebnyi4n = 6Lazebnyi took 4 of 6
S2Plishylo3Lazebnyi3n = 6split evenly
S3Plishylo2Lazebnyi4n = 6Lazebnyi took 4 of 6
S4Plishylo0Lazebnyi3n = 3Lazebnyi took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricPlishyloLazebnyiP − LBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match30.235.5−5.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlishyloLazebnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 650 vs 59 / 11743.9%50.4%285 / 650 vs 59 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LazebnyiPlishylo 2.20/Lazebnyi 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Lazebnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lazebnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 12 · 06:05V. Plishylo—481191R. Lazebnyi—11116113
WAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo—1211911113R. Lazebnyi—104111362
LAug 28 · 12:05V. Plishylo—7540R. Lazebnyi—1111113
LAug 15 · 09:05V. Plishylo—3450R. Lazebnyi—1111113
WAug 14 · 12:05V. Plishylo—1113113R. Lazebnyi—21170
LAug 8 · 05:05V. Plishylo—4111341R. Lazebnyi—11715113
V. Plishylo10
WSep 12 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.00141179113N. Kovalchuk1.73128111182WSep 12 · 04:35V. Plishylo1.8391411113R. Haiseniuk1.831112981LAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123LAug 29 · 09:05V. Plishylo1.83761181O. Napirko1.8311116113WAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.501211911113R. Lazebnyi1.50104111362WAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.911111113R. Haiseniuk1.805780WAug 29 · 04:35V. Plishylo2.0061111123N. Kovalchuk1.731167101LAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113LAug 28 · 16:35V. Plishylo1.8311114572O. Napirko1.83661111113LAug 28 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.75111110582D. Shcherbak1.40791211113
R. Lazebnyi10
WSep 12 · 08:05I. Romaniak1.836790R. Lazebnyi1.831111113LSep 12 · 05:05Y. Kravets1.91101111123R. Lazebnyi1.801272101WSep 11 · 18:05N. Kovalchuk1.618680R. Lazebnyi2.201111113WSep 11 · 17:05R. Lazebnyi1.8313115123Y. Kravets1.8311411101LSep 11 · 16:05R. Lazebnyi1.8315811652I. Romaniak1.831311311113WSep 11 · 14:35R. Lazebnyi2.001111113R. Haiseniuk1.739670LSep 11 · 12:35R. Lazebnyi1.57971111112M. Smyrnov2.25111164133LSep 7 · 18:55S. Rak1.301112113R. Lazebnyi3.4081080WSep 7 · 17:25R. Lazebnyi2.7511117113D. Shcherbak1.40671161LAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.501211911113R. Lazebnyi1.50104111362
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