TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116879
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Plishylo
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111412119118––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Haiseniuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Plishylo above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 85 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ruslan Haiseniuk at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Plishylo 26–26 Ruslan Haiseniuk Dead even across their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:12What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Haiseniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-26 in 52
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plishylo 1550 vs Haiseniuk 1532
Plishylo
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plishylo 60% vs Haiseniuk 40%
Plishylo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plishylo 40% vs Haiseniuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plishylo -2 · Haiseniuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Haiseniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlishylo 1.83 / Haiseniuk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Haiseniuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116879
Plishylo1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Haiseniuk1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlishylo3wins
AwayHaiseniuk7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlishylon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHaiseniuk75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plishylo2Haiseniuk8n = 10Haiseniuk took 8 of 10
S2Plishylo6Haiseniuk4n = 10Plishylo took 6 of 10
S3Plishylo5Haiseniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Plishylo3Haiseniuk4n = 7Haiseniuk took 4 of 7
S5Plishylo2Haiseniuk4n = 6Haiseniuk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlishyloHaiseniukP − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.540.9−1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlishyloHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 657 vs 413 / 74543.7%55.4%287 / 657 vs 413 / 745Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HaiseniukPlishylo 1.83/Haiseniuk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Haiseniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plishylo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo—1111113R. Haiseniuk—5780
LAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo—811111082R. Haiseniuk—114912113
WAug 28 · 02:30V. Plishylo—412611113R. Haiseniuk—111011372
LAug 15 · 06:05V. Plishylo—71211862R. Haiseniuk—1110611113
LAug 14 · 13:35V. Plishylo—7960R. Haiseniuk—1111113
LAug 13 · 23:30V. Plishylo—10880R. Haiseniuk—1211113
WAug 1 · 06:05V. Plishylo—511129113R. Haiseniuk—115101192
LJul 31 · 17:35V. Plishylo—131171192R. Haiseniuk—156118113
LJul 31 · 03:00V. Plishylo—11891152R. Haiseniuk—611115113
LJul 18 · 06:05V. Plishylo—771291R. Haiseniuk—111110113
V. Plishylo10
LAug 29 · 10:35V. Plishylo1.809121017102Y. Kravets1.9111101215123LAug 29 · 09:05V. Plishylo1.83761181O. Napirko1.8311116113WAug 29 · 07:35V. Plishylo2.501211911113R. Lazebnyi1.50104111362WAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.911111113R. Haiseniuk1.805780WAug 29 · 04:35V. Plishylo2.0061111123N. Kovalchuk1.731167101LAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113LAug 28 · 16:35V. Plishylo1.8311114572O. Napirko1.83661111113LAug 28 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.75111110582D. Shcherbak1.40791211113WAug 28 · 13:35V. Plishylo1.9161112113N. Kovalchuk1.801151091LAug 28 · 12:05V. Plishylo2.107540R. Lazebnyi1.671111113
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 11 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk2.2029111162I. Romaniak1.6111119673LSep 11 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.831111113R. Haiseniuk1.839660WSep 11 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk1.7381111113M. Smyrnov2.00119991LSep 11 · 14:35R. Lazebnyi2.001111113R. Haiseniuk1.739670WSep 11 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.53125613113Y. Kravets2.381011111122LSep 11 · 02:30N. Kovalchuk1.831191211113R. Haiseniuk1.8321114642WSep 11 · 01:30I. Romaniak1.61116961R. Haiseniuk2.2081111113LSep 11 · 24:00I. Kozachuk1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.009790LAug 29 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.911111113R. Haiseniuk1.805780WAug 28 · 18:05V. Plishylo1.91811111082R. Haiseniuk1.80114912113
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