TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122030
Played Sep 14Finished
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115116––––
Oleh Bindas
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeOleh Bindas to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Kozachuk above · Oleh Bindas below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleh Bindas at 64.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kozachuk 65–133 Oleh Bindas Ivan Kozachuk has won 65 of their 198 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bindas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
65-133 in 198
Bindas
Wrong
gap of 68 in 198, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozachuk 1738 vs Bindas 1795
Bindas
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozachuk 40% vs Bindas 60%
Bindas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozachuk 40% vs Bindas 60%
Bindas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozachuk -1 · Bindas +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Bindas) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 2.50 / Bindas 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Bindas)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13122030
Kozachuk2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 94 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Bindas1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 139 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it98% 78 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it81% 108 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozachuk2wins
AwayBindas8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBindas leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozachukn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBindas87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozachuk2Bindas8n = 10Bindas took 8 of 10
S2Kozachuk3Bindas7n = 10Bindas took 7 of 10
S3Kozachuk2Bindas8n = 10Bindas took 8 of 10
S4Kozachuk3Bindas3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozachukBindasK − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.938.1−9.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukBindasBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 1092 vs 461 / 72349.7%63.8%543 / 1092 vs 461 / 723Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BindasKozachuk 2.50/Bindas 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Bindas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kozachuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 30 · 07:05I. Kozachuk162680O. Bindas331111113
LJun 29 · 18:05I. Kozachuk26412551O. Bindas43111011113
LJun 19 · 18:05I. Kozachuk186480O. Bindas331111113
LJun 16 · 10:35I. Kozachuk341181141O. Bindas4213117113
LJun 12 · 18:05I. Kozachuk164660O. Bindas331111113
WJun 11 · 22:30I. Kozachuk46811511113O. Bindas4411611972
WMay 9 · 07:35I. Kozachuk4011711113O. Bindas30511771
LMay 8 · 13:35I. Kozachuk43113811102O. Bindas44411116123
LMay 2 · 07:35I. Kozachuk27415351O. Bindas46111311113
LMay 1 · 16:05I. Kozachuk239860O. Bindas331111113
I. Kozachuk10
LSep 13 · 22:30I. Kozachuk2.2012960D. Pesternikov1.611411113WSep 13 · 20:30I. Kozachuk1.611114123R. Lazebnyi2.20612100LSep 11 · 02:00S. Rak1.571111113I. Kozachuk2.256730LSep 11 · 01:00I. Kozachuk1.8011911962D. Shcherbak1.91611411113WSep 11 · 24:00I. Kozachuk1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.009790WSep 10 · 22:30I. Kozachuk1.911211113N. Kovalchuk1.8010380WSep 10 · 20:30I. Kozachuk1.731411123I. Romaniak2.00129100LSep 8 · 10:25I. Romaniak2.1011116113I. Kozachuk1.67871181LSep 8 · 09:25I. Kozachuk2.25117941S. Rak1.5751111113LSep 8 · 08:25I. Kozachuk1.8011811682N. Kovalchuk1.91311611113
O. Bindas10
WSep 13 · 22:00D. Shcherbak3.00114120O. Bindas1.361311143LSep 13 · 20:00S. Rak3.4071111113O. Bindas1.30117681WJul 6 · 02:30D. Pesternikov2.201146131O. Bindas1.6171111153LJul 6 · 01:30D. Shcherbak3.251111113O. Bindas1.339550WJul 6 · 24:00I. Kozachuk2.50119571O. Bindas1.5031111113LJul 5 · 22:00R. Haiseniuk5.50112811113O. Bindas1.1381111452WJul 5 · 20:00S. Rak3.7539111372O. Bindas1.251111811113LJul 4 · 11:05O. Bindas1.33910111232D. Shcherbak3.251112910113WJul 4 · 09:05I. Romaniak2.631091191O. Bindas1.4412115113WJul 4 · 08:05O. Bindas1.141112113R. Haiseniuk5.0081080
Upcoming Matches
I. Kozachuk
O. Bindas
Sep 14 · 01:30O. Bindas1.57R. Lazebnyi2.25—Sep 14 · 02:30O. Bindas1.83D. Pesternikov1.83—Sep 14 · 12:05O. Bindas1.33D. Shcherbak3.25—Sep 14 · 13:35O. Bindas1.44I. Romaniak2.63—Sep 14 · 15:05O. Bindas1.33S. Rak3.25—Sep 14 · 16:35O. Bindas1.73D. Pesternikov2.00—Sep 14 · 18:05O. Bindas1.50I. Kozachuk2.50—
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