TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117398
Played Sep 12Finished
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911117117115––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRuslan Lazebnyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Lazebnyi above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Ruslan Lazebnyi at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Lazebnyi 5–6 Ruslan Haiseniuk Ruslan Lazebnyi has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lazebnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lazebnyi 1616 vs Haiseniuk 1525
Lazebnyi
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lazebnyi 80% vs Haiseniuk 20%
Lazebnyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lazebnyi 60% vs Haiseniuk 40%
Lazebnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lazebnyi +2 · Haiseniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lazebnyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLazebnyi 1.80 / Haiseniuk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lazebnyi)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13117398
Lazebnyi1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 36 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it68% 26 of 38
Haiseniuk1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLazebnyi4wins
AwayHaiseniuk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHaiseniuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLazebnyi57.1%4 of 7
AwayHaiseniuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lazebnyi7Haiseniuk3n = 10Lazebnyi took 7 of 10
S2Lazebnyi4Haiseniuk6n = 10Haiseniuk took 6 of 10
S3Lazebnyi6Haiseniuk4n = 10Lazebnyi took 6 of 10
S4Lazebnyi3Haiseniuk4n = 7Haiseniuk took 4 of 7
S5Lazebnyi1Haiseniuk3n = 4Haiseniuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLazebnyiHaiseniukL − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.5+0.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLazebnyiHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 117 vs 414 / 74850.4%55.4%59 / 117 vs 414 / 748Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LazebnyiLazebnyi 1.80/Haiseniuk 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lazebnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lazebnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 14:35R. Lazebnyi—1111113R. Haiseniuk—9670
WSep 5 · 09:05R. Lazebnyi—1315127113R. Haiseniuk—1117101152
LSep 4 · 14:05R. Lazebnyi—8117101R. Haiseniuk—11811123
WSep 3 · 22:00R. Lazebnyi—1111113R. Haiseniuk—9670
LAug 29 · 11:35R. Lazebnyi—11851172R. Haiseniuk—811116113
LAug 28 · 16:05R. Lazebnyi—133131172R. Haiseniuk—1111158113
LAug 22 · 07:35R. Lazebnyi—631191R. Haiseniuk—11116113
LAug 21 · 17:05R. Lazebnyi—111071192R. Haiseniuk—912113113
WAug 21 · 03:00R. Lazebnyi—1111133R. Haiseniuk—86110
LAug 15 · 08:05R. Lazebnyi—1271181R. Haiseniuk—14116113
R. Lazebnyi10
WSep 12 · 08:05I. Romaniak1.836790R. Lazebnyi1.831111113WSep 12 · 06:05V. Plishylo2.20481191R. Lazebnyi1.6111116113LSep 12 · 05:05Y. Kravets1.91101111123R. Lazebnyi1.801272101WSep 11 · 18:05N. Kovalchuk1.618680R. Lazebnyi2.201111113WSep 11 · 17:05R. Lazebnyi1.8313115123Y. Kravets1.8311411101LSep 11 · 16:05R. Lazebnyi1.8315811652I. Romaniak1.831311311113WSep 11 · 14:35R. Lazebnyi2.001111113R. Haiseniuk1.739670LSep 11 · 12:35R. Lazebnyi1.57971111112M. Smyrnov2.25111164133LSep 7 · 18:55S. Rak1.301112113R. Lazebnyi3.4081080WSep 7 · 17:25R. Lazebnyi2.7511117113D. Shcherbak1.40671161
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 12 · 11:05I. Romaniak1.5731R. Haiseniuk2.2510WSep 12 · 08:35Y. Kravets2.3812311892R. Haiseniuk1.531011311113LSep 12 · 06:35N. Kovalchuk1.731111113R. Haiseniuk2.005830LSep 12 · 04:35V. Plishylo1.8391411113R. Haiseniuk1.831112981LSep 11 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk2.2029111162I. Romaniak1.6111119673LSep 11 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.831111113R. Haiseniuk1.839660WSep 11 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk1.7381111113M. Smyrnov2.00119991LSep 11 · 14:35R. Lazebnyi2.001111113R. Haiseniuk1.739670WSep 11 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.53125613113Y. Kravets2.381011111122LSep 11 · 02:30N. Kovalchuk1.831191211113R. Haiseniuk1.8321114642
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