TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11925705
Played May 22Finished
Oleg Pavlyuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8116111181181113
Andrii Zeniuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingOleg Pavlyuk above · Andrii Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 98 set 5, 11-13
98 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Pavlyuk 1–2 Andrii Zeniuk Oleg Pavlyuk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeniuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavlyuk 2.20 / Zeniuk 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Zeniuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #11925705
Pavlyuk2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Zeniuk1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 67 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePavlyuk1wins
AwayZeniuk2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderZeniuk leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePavlyuk33.3%1 of 3
AwayZeniukn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pavlyuk3Zeniuk0n = 3Pavlyuk took 3 of 3
S2Pavlyuk1Zeniuk2n = 3Zeniuk took 2 of 3
S3Pavlyuk0Zeniuk3n = 3Zeniuk took 3 of 3
S4Pavlyuk1Zeniuk2n = 3Zeniuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPavlyukZeniukP − ZBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match34.345.0−10.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavlyukZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 87 vs 310 / 62442.5%49.7%37 / 87 vs 310 / 624Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeniukPavlyuk 2.20/Zeniuk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 5 · 06:35O. Pavlyuk—3A. Zeniuk—2
LJul 4 · 17:35O. Pavlyuk—1A. Zeniuk—3
LJul 4 · 02:30O. Pavlyuk—2A. Zeniuk—3
O. Pavlyuk10
WSep 17 · 15:00D. Neborak1.731212128122O. Pavlyuk2.0014101011143WSep 17 · 14:00O. Pavlyuk1.801111113I. Hermakivskyi1.914470WSep 17 · 13:00O. Ivchuk1.6111119832O. Pavlyuk2.20691111113LMay 23 · 11:35S. Rak1.501111113O. Pavlyuk2.509680LMay 23 · 10:05O. Pavlyuk2.385950A. Zeniuk1.531111113WMay 23 · 08:05Y. Kravets2.2068100O. Pavlyuk1.611111123WMay 23 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.83121171142O. Pavlyuk1.831091113113WMay 23 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.831111118102O. Pavlyuk1.83136411123LMay 22 · 19:05O. Pavlyuk2.00711115102D. Shcherbak1.73115811123LMay 22 · 17:05I. Kozachuk2.1011117113O. Pavlyuk1.67991141
A. Zeniuk10
LSep 8 · 11:35B. Kohut1.25115911113A. Zeniuk3.7571111882LSep 8 · 10:05A. Zeniuk2.7511761232D. Zeniuk1.408111110113LSep 8 · 08:05V. Verbyany1.201311113A. Zeniuk4.3311180LSep 8 · 06:05A. Molochko1.17111111113A. Zeniuk4.50138281LSep 8 · 05:05N. Danyliuk1.0811119113A. Zeniuk7.00661131LSep 7 · 18:35V. Verbyany1.221111113A. Zeniuk4.006670LSep 7 · 17:35B. Kohut1.2512512113A. Zeniuk3.7510111071LSep 7 · 16:05N. Danyliuk1.081114113A. Zeniuk7.0071280LSep 7 · 14:05D. Zeniuk1.4451111113A. Zeniuk2.63117891WMay 23 · 10:05O. Pavlyuk2.385950A. Zeniuk1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Pavlyuk
A. Zeniuk
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