Oleksandr Zhurba vs Oleksandr Ivchuk 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13141988

Played Sep 17Finished

Oleksandr Zhurba

Home

1.40

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

9118111131412117

Oleksandr Ivchuk

Away

2.75

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Zhurba to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingOleksandr Zhurba above · Oleksandr Ivchuk below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-3

Set 4 · 14-12

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 97 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 54.0%

97 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 19:13

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.40 (66%)

Zhurba

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Zhurba 1899 vs Ivchuk 1758

Zhurba

Correct

both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zhurba 40% vs Ivchuk 60%

Ivchuk

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zhurba 50% vs Ivchuk 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Zhurba -3 · Ivchuk -1

Zhurba

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zhurba) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Ivchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZhurba 1.40 / Ivchuk 2.75

Signal prob.66% / 34%

Edge (Zhurba)+0.0pp

Setka Cup · #13141988

Zhurba1.40

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite71% won 175 of 246

Up 2–0, closes it98% 107 of 109

Up 1–0, closes it87% 139 of 160

Ivchuk2.75

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog29% won 16 of 56

Down 0–1, comes back10% 3 of 31

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricZhurbaIvchukBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 706 vs 358 / 52365.2%68.5%460 / 706 vs 358 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Zhurba

Zhurba 1.40/Ivchuk 2.75

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

66.3%

Zhurba · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Zhurba won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Zhurba10