TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13141726
Played Sep 16Finished
Milan Dvorak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711511––––
Jakub Dvorak
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMilan Dvorak above · Jakub Dvorak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 54 set 3, 5-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Milan Dvorak 11–9 Jakub Dvorak Jakub Dvorak has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Dvorak beat Dvorak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 1.67 / Dvorak 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Dvorak)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13141726
Dvorak1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite45% won 26 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it55% 16 of 29
Dvorak2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 59 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvorak5wins
AwayDvorak5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvorak50%4 of 8
AwayDvorakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvorak8Dvorak2n = 10Dvorak took 8 of 10
S2Dvorak6Dvorak4n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S3Dvorak3Dvorak7n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10
S4Dvorak5Dvorak3n = 8Dvorak took 5 of 8
S5Dvorak1Dvorak3n = 4Dvorak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvorakDvorakDvorak − DvorakBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.438.3+1.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 342 vs 170 / 34948%48.7%164 / 342 vs 170 / 349Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakDvorak 1.67/Dvorak 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 16:50M. Dvorak4211119113J. Dvorak33961171
LSep 9 · 18:05M. Dvorak4611971182J. Dvorak50811119113
WSep 9 · 15:25M. Dvorak511111810113J. Dvorak4697111272
LAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak48118315112J. Dvorak579111113133
WAug 28 · 17:25M. Dvorak4271311113J. Dvorak361111771
LJul 31 · 16:25M. Dvorak25511361J. Dvorak3711411113
LMay 14 · 15:20M. Dvorak31119471J. Dvorak3741111113
LMay 11 · 17:25M. Dvorak4311771262J. Dvorak518111110113
WJan 26 · 19:25M. Dvorak331111113J. Dvorak155460
WJan 26 · 17:25M. Dvorak331111113J. Dvorak217860
M. Dvorak10
WSep 16 · 16:50J. Dvorak1.91961171M. Dvorak1.8011119113WSep 16 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00115811113D. Tichy1.7361111232WSep 16 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.83118891M. Dvorak1.8391111113LSep 11 · 18:25M. Dvorak1.78311961A. Kral1.9211911113WSep 11 · 16:55M. Dvorak1.57491111113L. Moravec2.2511114752WSep 11 · 15:55M. Dvorak2.201110138113A. Kral1.61512111152WSep 11 · 14:55M. Dvorak2.2011117113D. Sochor1.61961171LSep 9 · 18:05M. Dvorak1.8011971182J. Dvorak1.91811119113LSep 9 · 16:55M. Beran1.6711118123M. Dvorak2.108611101LSep 9 · 16:25D. Sykora1.83111211113M. Dvorak1.83814881
J. Dvorak10
LSep 16 · 16:50J. Dvorak1.91961171M. Dvorak1.8011119113WSep 16 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.0081215842J. Dvorak1.7311101311113WSep 16 · 14:50D. Tichy1.807690J. Dvorak1.911111113WSep 9 · 18:05M. Dvorak1.8011971182J. Dvorak1.91811119113LSep 9 · 17:25J. Dvorak3.0087111182D. Sykora1.36111187113LSep 9 · 15:55M. Beran1.7391111113J. Dvorak2.00115141LSep 9 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.801111810113J. Dvorak1.9197111272WSep 8 · 17:23J. Dvorak1.67111158123Z. Zahradka2.10981111102WSep 8 · 16:20Z. Zahradka2.50671191J. Dvorak1.5011113113WSep 8 · 15:50J. Hendrych2.0051111872J. Dvorak1.73116911113
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