Frantisek Balcar vs Tomas Hnizdil 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13140713

Played Sep 16Finished

Frantisek Balcar

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

8119111311911––

Tomas Hnizdil

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

How it is goingFrantisek Balcar above · Tomas Hnizdil below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 13-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 83 set 4, 9-11

83 points played in total.

H2H Frantisek Balcar 5–4 Tomas Hnizdil Tomas Hnizdil has won 4 of their 9 meetings.

Last 9 · 5–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hnizdil)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Balcar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBalcar 2.00 / Hnizdil 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Hnizdil)+0.3pp

TT Cup · #13140713

Balcar2.00

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog50% won 39 of 78

Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22

Hnizdil1.73

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite69% won 55 of 80

Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30

Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeBalcar5wins

AwayHnizdil4wins

3 of 9 to a deciderBalcar leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBalcar100%5 of 5

AwayHnizdil100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Balcar5Hnizdil4n = 9Balcar took 5 of 9

S2Balcar3Hnizdil6n = 9Hnizdil took 6 of 9

S3Balcar4Hnizdil5n = 9Hnizdil took 5 of 9

S4Balcar4Hnizdil1n = 5Balcar took 4 of 5

S5Balcar2Hnizdil1n = 3Balcar took 2 of 3

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home222%

3–1Four sets, home111%

3–2Decider, home222%

2–3Decider, away111%

1–3Four sets, away111%

0–3Straight, away222%

These 9 meetings

MetricBalcarHnizdilB − HBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match35.639.9−4.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBalcarHnizdilBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 233 vs 148 / 24548.9%60.4%114 / 233 vs 148 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Hnizdil

Balcar 2.00/Hnizdil 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Hnizdil · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Hnizdil won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record9

WApr 5 · 14:30F. Balcar4115113123T. Hnizdil4213811101

WApr 5 · 13:25F. Balcar361114113T. Hnizdil2981290

LFeb 23 · 15:00F. Balcar3012111152T. Hnizdil50111198113

WFeb 23 · 12:25F. Balcar50118811123T. Hnizdil49911118102

LAug 21 · 07:50F. Balcar157530T. Hnizdil331111113

WAug 18 · 13:50F. Balcar45123811113T. Hnizdil46101111862

LAug 18 · 10:40F. Balcar2777130T. Hnizdil371111153

LAug 11 · 06:50F. Balcar35691191T. Hnizdil4011117113

WJul 13 · 11:50F. Balcar411111193T. Hnizdil3388170

F. Balcar10

WSep 16 · 12:20F. Balcar1.8011118113B. Budik1.90781181 WSep 16 · 11:20F. Balcar2.00481111113T. Hnizdil1.7311113972 WSep 16 · 10:20F. Balcar1.911411113113M. Filipek1.8016451162 WSep 7 · 10:33D. Pasek2.6381171162F. Balcar1.44113117113 WSep 7 · 09:25M. Filipek1.831196101F. Balcar1.8361111123 LSep 7 · 08:25F. Balcar1.579750D. Pasek2.251111113 WSep 7 · 06:55R. Muller1.918121111142F. Balcar1.801110139163 WSep 4 · 14:35F. Balcar2.25511117113A. Kral1.5711961152 LSep 4 · 13:25F. Balcar2.50210111172A. Kral1.50111294113 WSep 4 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.8391070F. Balcar1.831112113

T. Hnizdil10

WSep 16 · 12:50T. Hnizdil1.67111014113M. Filipek2.102121251 LSep 16 · 11:20F. Balcar2.00481111113T. Hnizdil1.7311113972 WSep 16 · 10:50B. Budik2.20127101152T. Hnizdil1.601011128113 WSep 15 · 13:24T. Hnizdil1.3641112123J. Osmera3.0011810101 LSep 15 · 12:50M. Filipek2.2513127113T. Hnizdil1.5711101181 LSep 15 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.503411111O. Knazik2.5011117133 WSep 15 · 10:20J. Osmera3.00511471T. Hnizdil1.3611811113 WSep 14 · 14:44T. Hnizdil1.4011811113J. Osmera2.80411931 LSep 14 · 13:25S. Holik2.255101111143T. Hnizdil1.57111248122 WSep 14 · 12:25T. Hnizdil1.401111119113J. Osmera2.7513721192

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