Pawel Kurek vs Wiktor Ptak 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140157

Played Sep 17Finished

Pawel Kurek

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1210115711118––

Wiktor Ptak

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:56 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%

Graded at full time

Pawel Kurek to win

56.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingPawel Kurek above · Wiktor Ptak below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Pawel Kurek at 56.5%

75 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:56

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Kurek

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kurek 1402 vs Ptak 1333

Kurek

Correct

both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kurek 40% vs Ptak 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kurek 50% vs Ptak 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Kurek -1 · Ptak -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kurek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKurek 1.57 / Ptak 2.25

Signal prob.62% / 38%

Edge (Kurek)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13140157

Kurek1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite66% won 208 of 317

Up 2–0, closes it94% 96 of 102

Up 1–0, closes it84% 144 of 171

Ptak2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog32% won 9 of 28

Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKurekPtakBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 817 vs 76 / 13550.3%56.3%411 / 817 vs 76 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kurek

Kurek 1.57/Ptak 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61.7%

Kurek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kurek won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

P. Kurek10