Igor Szymanski vs Pawel Kurek 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139862

Played Sep 17Finished

Igor Szymanski

Home

4.00

At publish

Lost last 6

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 6

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

411711311––––

Pawel Kurek

Away

1.22

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:47 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%

Graded at full time

Pawel Kurek to win

79.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Pawel Kurek below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 3-11

Point 47 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Pawel Kurek at 79.4%

47 points played in total.

H2H Igor Szymanski 2–11 Pawel Kurek Igor Szymanski has won 2 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 1–9Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:47

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.22 (77%)

Kurek

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

2-11 in 13

Kurek

Correct

gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Szymanski 1141 vs Kurek 1412

Kurek

Correct

both rated, 271 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Szymanski 0% vs Kurek 60%

Kurek

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Szymanski 10% vs Kurek 50%

Kurek

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Szymanski -5 · Kurek +1

Szymanski

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kurek form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSzymanski 4.00 / Kurek 1.22

Signal prob.17% / 83%

Edge (Kurek)+6.3pp

TT Elite Series · #13139862

Szymanski4.00

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 6

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog21% won 77 of 361

Down 0–1, comes back11% 26 of 246

Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 177

Kurek1.22

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite66% won 208 of 317

Up 2–0, closes it94% 96 of 102

Up 1–0, closes it84% 144 of 171

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSzymanski1wins

AwayKurek9wins

6 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSzymanski0%0 of 4

AwayKurek83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Szymanski4Kurek6n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10

S2Szymanski3Kurek7n = 10Kurek took 7 of 10

S3Szymanski3Kurek7n = 10Kurek took 7 of 10

S4Szymanski3Kurek4n = 7Kurek took 4 of 7

S5Szymanski1Kurek5n = 6Kurek took 5 of 6

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away550%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricSzymanskiKurekS − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.342.6−9.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSzymanskiKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 402 vs 412 / 81822.6%50.4%91 / 402 vs 412 / 818Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.037.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kurek

Szymanski 4.00/Kurek 1.22

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

82.9%

Kurek · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Kurek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 3 · 10:10I. Szymanski45111167102P. Kurek48681111123

LSep 3 · 04:30I. Szymanski2021260P. Kurek361114113

LJul 24 · 13:55I. Szymanski4688111182P. Kurek44111165113

LJul 24 · 04:10I. Szymanski361112761P. Kurek4591411113

LJul 21 · 14:20I. Szymanski3521111742P. Kurek46117611113

WJul 21 · 03:00I. Szymanski43461111113P. Kurek4511119592

LJul 13 · 12:15I. Szymanski3011113142P. Kurek42361111113

LJul 13 · 08:35I. Szymanski259880P. Kurek331111113

LJul 3 · 17:45I. Szymanski3512161332P. Kurek5410111111113

LJul 2 · 12:15I. Szymanski188460P. Kurek331111113

I. Szymanski10

LSep 17 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.507770P. Gumulinski1.171111113 LSep 16 · 13:55R. Gajda1.20111111113I. Szymanski4.33461351 LSep 16 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.28891114113I. Szymanski3.50111141292 LSep 16 · 12:15I. Szymanski3.50111231162W. Urban1.28814119113 LSep 16 · 10:35I. Szymanski4.505119111P. Gumulinski1.1711311133 LSep 16 · 09:50K. Adamus1.221111113I. Szymanski4.006790 WSep 16 · 08:35I. Szymanski3.751191511113W. Urban1.2591117892 LSep 16 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.50711751P. Przewlocki1.2811811113 LSep 16 · 05:40I. Szymanski5.0010830K. Adamus1.141211113 LSep 16 · 04:10I. Szymanski3.755870R. Gajda1.251111113

P. Kurek10

WSep 17 · 03:25P. Kurek1.5712117113W. Ptak2.251051181 LSep 16 · 16:20J. Pelka1.90911911113P. Kurek1.7511911942 WSep 16 · 15:30M. Rus3.405440P. Kurek1.241111113 WSep 16 · 14:45P. Kurek2.321111113K. Hetnar1.496780 LSep 16 · 13:10P. Kurek1.65611671M. Sikon2.0511911113 LSep 16 · 12:20B. Madej3.104111111113P. Kurek1.2911913972 WSep 16 · 11:05P. Kurek2.2512611113K. Hetnar1.571011771 WSep 16 · 09:30P. Kurek1.261211113M. Rus3.2510740 LSep 16 · 08:20P. Kurek1.3171060B. Madej2.951112113 LSep 16 · 06:45P. Kurek1.809111181J. Pelka1.9111139113

Upcoming Matches

I. Szymanski

Sep 17 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.28K. Kowalski3.50—Sep 17 · 06:55I. Szymanski5.00L. Oracz1.14—Sep 17 · 08:35I. Szymanski2.75W. Ptak1.40—Sep 17 · 09:50I. Szymanski1.30K. Kowalski3.40—Sep 17 · 10:35I. Szymanski5.00P. Gumulinski1.14—Sep 17 · 12:15I. Szymanski2.75W. Ptak1.40—Sep 17 · 13:05I. Szymanski5.00L. Oracz1.14—Sep 17 · 13:55I. Szymanski4.00P. Kurek1.22—

P. Kurek

Sep 17 · 05:15P. Kurek2.25P. Gumulinski1.57—Sep 17 · 06:30P. Kurek1.14K. Kowalski5.00—Sep 17 · 07:45P. Kurek2.20L. Oracz1.61—Sep 17 · 09:25P. Kurek1.57W. Ptak2.25—Sep 17 · 10:10P. Kurek2.20L. Oracz1.61—Sep 17 · 11:25P. Kurek2.25P. Gumulinski1.57—Sep 17 · 12:40P. Kurek1.14K. Kowalski5.00—Sep 17 · 13:55P. Kurek1.22I. Szymanski4.00—

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