TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138121
Played Sep 16Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210611117117––
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1210611117117––
H2H Pawel Kurek 4–5 Krzysztof Hetnar Pawel Kurek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hetnar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1406 vs Hetnar 1482
Hetnar
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 60% vs Hetnar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 60% vs Hetnar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +1 · Hetnar +3
Hetnar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 2.25 / Hetnar 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Hetnar)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13138121
Kurek2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 120 of 310
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 99
Hetnar1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 264 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it98% 146 of 149
Up 1–0, closes it85% 215 of 253
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKurek4wins
AwayHetnar5wins
5 of 9 to a deciderHetnar leads 5–4, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurek66.7%2 of 3
AwayHetnar66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek3Hetnar6n = 9Hetnar took 6 of 9
S2Kurek6Hetnar3n = 9Kurek took 6 of 9
S3Kurek4Hetnar5n = 9Hetnar took 5 of 9
S4Kurek3Hetnar6n = 9Hetnar took 6 of 9
S5Kurek3Hetnar2n = 5Kurek took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricKurekHetnarK − HBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match42.842.80.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 811 vs 719 / 117450.3%61.2%408 / 811 vs 719 / 1174Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarKurek 2.25/Hetnar 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 12 · 14:40P. Kurek4811981192K. Hetnar48811117113
WAug 12 · 03:25P. Kurek541171114113K. Hetnar4021151662
WJul 9 · 17:10P. Kurek49711911113K. Hetnar4311811492
LJun 26 · 06:00P. Kurek351015821K. Hetnar47121311113
LJun 15 · 14:20P. Kurek461011113112K. Hetnar44126211133
WJun 15 · 08:10P. Kurek44101112113K. Hetnar351291041
LJun 10 · 05:35P. Kurek368111161K. Hetnar4011513113
LJun 2 · 04:25P. Kurek356118101K. Hetnar3811411123
WJan 24 · 08:10P. Kurek38112112123K. Hetnar50911911102
P. Kurek10
LSep 16 · 12:20B. Madej3.104111111113P. Kurek1.2911913972WSep 16 · 09:30P. Kurek1.261211113M. Rus3.2510740LSep 16 · 08:20P. Kurek1.3171060B. Madej2.951112113LSep 16 · 06:45P. Kurek1.809111181J. Pelka1.9111139113WSep 16 · 05:30P. Kurek1.571111113M. Sikon2.257960WSep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon2.50411981P. Kurek1.5011511113WSep 14 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.386980P. Kurek1.531111113WSep 14 · 12:15P. Kurek2.38811114113L. Oracz1.5311871162LSep 14 · 10:35P. Kurek2.63101111992K. Slawinski1.44129311113LSep 14 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.1015916153P. Kurek1.67131114131
K. Hetnar10
WSep 16 · 11:55J. Pelka2.6051270K. Hetnar1.421114113WSep 16 · 09:55K. Hetnar1.3311119153M. Sikon2.858611131WSep 16 · 08:45M. Rus4.30811118152K. Hetnar1.16116811173WSep 16 · 07:30B. Madej4.10711481K. Hetnar1.1711711113LSep 16 · 05:55J. Pelka2.601111113K. Hetnar1.414680LSep 15 · 14:40M. Baron2.631111113K. Hetnar1.448850LSep 15 · 13:30K. Hetnar2.0011711632K. Slawinski1.73311811113LSep 15 · 12:15P. Gumulinski1.8311811113K. Hetnar1.83811681WSep 15 · 11:00P. Przewlocki2.384440K. Hetnar1.531111113WSep 15 · 09:25M. Sikon2.7534110K. Hetnar1.401111133
Upcoming Matches
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Sep 16 · 13:10P. Kurek1.54M. Sikon2.21—Sep 16 · 14:45P. Kurek2.32K. Hetnar1.49—Sep 16 · 15:30P. Kurek1.24M. Rus3.40—Sep 16 · 16:20P. Kurek1.66J. Pelka2.05—Sep 17 · 03:25P. Kurek1.73W. Ptak2.00—Sep 17 · 04:10P. Kurek1.28I. Szymanski3.50—Sep 17 · 05:15P. Kurek2.25P. Gumulinski1.57—Sep 17 · 06:30P. Kurek1.14K. Kowalski5.00—Sep 17 · 07:45P. Kurek2.20L. Oracz1.61—Sep 17 · 09:25P. Kurek1.73W. Ptak2.00—
K. Hetnar
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