TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138115
Played Sep 16Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111214711––––
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.42
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
5111214711––––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 13–21 Krzysztof Hetnar Jerzy Pelka has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:28What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-21 in 34
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 8 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1386 vs Hetnar 1467
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 40% vs Hetnar 60%
Hetnar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 50% vs Hetnar 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -3 · Hetnar -1
Pelka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 2.60 / Hetnar 1.42
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Hetnar)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13138115
Pelka2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 78 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Hetnar1.42
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 264 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it98% 146 of 149
Up 1–0, closes it85% 215 of 253
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka6wins
AwayHetnar4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPelka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka75%3 of 4
AwayHetnar50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka4Hetnar6n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S2Pelka7Hetnar3n = 10Pelka took 7 of 10
S3Pelka6Hetnar4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S4Pelka1Hetnar6n = 7Hetnar took 6 of 7
S5Pelka3Hetnar0n = 3Pelka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaHetnarP − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.136.4−0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime431 / 924 vs 719 / 117546.7%61.2%431 / 924 vs 719 / 1175Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarPelka 2.60/Hetnar 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.9%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 05:55J. Pelka331111113K. Hetnar184680
WSep 10 · 14:20J. Pelka331111113K. Hetnar249780
LSep 10 · 06:20J. Pelka31117761K. Hetnar3961111113
WMay 27 · 13:30J. Pelka51711139113K. Hetnar46116111172
LMay 27 · 07:30J. Pelka314111061K. Hetnar4311912113
LMay 21 · 15:55J. Pelka32312981K. Hetnar43111011113
WMay 21 · 09:55J. Pelka45611116113K. Hetnar4311861172
WMay 5 · 11:30J. Pelka4291111113K. Hetnar33116971
WMay 5 · 07:10J. Pelka521110119113K. Hetnar4271281142
LApr 30 · 13:55J. Pelka113440K. Hetnar331111113
J. Pelka10
WSep 16 · 16:20J. Pelka1.90911911113P. Kurek1.7511911942WSep 16 · 15:05J. Pelka1.391111113B. Madej2.658780LSep 16 · 13:55J. Pelka1.6799100M. Sikon2.001111123LSep 16 · 12:45M. Rus3.001111113J. Pelka1.308880LSep 16 · 10:20J. Pelka1.32411111172M. Rus2.90119613113LSep 16 · 09:05J. Pelka1.399118121B. Madej2.6511411143LSep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka1.72111110662M. Sikon2.00151211113WSep 16 · 06:45P. Kurek1.809111181J. Pelka1.9111139113WSep 16 · 05:55J. Pelka2.601111113K. Hetnar1.414680LSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113
K. Hetnar10
WSep 16 · 17:05M. Rus4.50116981K. Hetnar1.1471111113WSep 16 · 15:55K. Hetnar1.3311411113M. Sikon2.85811561LSep 16 · 14:45P. Kurek2.321111113K. Hetnar1.496780WSep 16 · 13:30B. Madej3.2510550K. Hetnar1.271211113LSep 16 · 11:05P. Kurek2.2512611113K. Hetnar1.571011771WSep 16 · 09:55K. Hetnar1.3311119153M. Sikon2.858611131WSep 16 · 08:45M. Rus4.30811118152K. Hetnar1.16116811173WSep 16 · 07:30B. Madej4.10711481K. Hetnar1.1711711113LSep 16 · 05:55J. Pelka2.601111113K. Hetnar1.414680LSep 15 · 14:40M. Baron2.631111113K. Hetnar1.448850
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K. Hetnar
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