TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138130
Played Sep 16Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181169111513––
Mateusz Sikon
Away
2.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:25 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
1181169111513––
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 6–2 Mateusz Sikon Mateusz Sikon has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (68%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1473 vs Sikon 1381
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 40% vs Sikon 60%
Sikon
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 60% vs Sikon 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar +2 · Sikon +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.33 / Sikon 2.85
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Hetnar)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13138130
Hetnar1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 264 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it98% 146 of 149
Up 1–0, closes it85% 215 of 253
Sikon2.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 96 of 284
Down 0–1, comes back15% 26 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHetnar6wins
AwaySikon2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderHetnar leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar80%4 of 5
AwaySikon33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar5Sikon3n = 8Hetnar took 5 of 8
S2Hetnar4Sikon4n = 8split evenly
S3Hetnar6Sikon2n = 8Hetnar took 6 of 8
S4Hetnar4Sikon2n = 6Hetnar took 4 of 6
S5Hetnar2Sikon1n = 3Hetnar took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricHetnarSikonH − SBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match42.533.6+8.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime718 / 1173 vs 161 / 41861.2%38.5%718 / 1173 vs 161 / 418Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.33/Sikon 2.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 15 · 09:25K. Hetnar351111133M. Sikon1834110
WSep 15 · 03:25K. Hetnar4391112113M. Sikon311161041
LAug 26 · 14:40K. Hetnar381178121M. Sikon4151111143
WAug 26 · 06:05K. Hetnar50117714113M. Sikon45711111242
WAug 17 · 10:35K. Hetnar391111173M. Sikon2564150
WAug 17 · 03:00K. Hetnar43111011113M. Sikon30912541
LJul 20 · 10:35K. Hetnar46710111172M. Sikon42111235113
WJul 20 · 03:00K. Hetnar46511118113M. Sikon3711941122
K. Hetnar10
WSep 16 · 08:45M. Rus4.30811118152K. Hetnar1.16116811173WSep 16 · 07:30B. Madej4.10711481K. Hetnar1.1711711113LSep 16 · 05:55J. Pelka2.601111113K. Hetnar1.414680LSep 15 · 14:40M. Baron2.631111113K. Hetnar1.448850LSep 15 · 13:30K. Hetnar2.0011711632K. Slawinski1.73311811113LSep 15 · 12:15P. Gumulinski1.8311811113K. Hetnar1.83811681WSep 15 · 11:00P. Przewlocki2.384440K. Hetnar1.531111113WSep 15 · 09:25M. Sikon2.7534110K. Hetnar1.401111133WSep 15 · 08:35P. Gumulinski2.107780K. Hetnar1.671111113WSep 15 · 07:20K. Hetnar1.9171111123K. Slawinski1.801167101
M. Sikon10
LSep 16 · 10:40B. Madej2.25111157113M. Sikon1.5884111112WSep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka1.72111110662M. Sikon2.00151211113WSep 16 · 07:10M. Rus2.60711115142M. Sikon1.41115911163LSep 16 · 05:30P. Kurek1.571111113M. Sikon2.257960LSep 15 · 13:55M. Sikon2.75281271P. Gumulinski1.40111110113WSep 15 · 12:40M. Sikon2.101131211113P. Przewlocki1.6791114592WSep 15 · 11:25M. Sikon3.251110119113K. Slawinski1.3391251192WSep 15 · 10:10M. Baron1.8311714992M. Sikon1.837111211113LSep 15 · 09:25M. Sikon2.7534110K. Hetnar1.401111133LSep 15 · 07:45M. Sikon1.83146111272M. Baron1.831611710113
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