TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138127
Played Sep 16Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.32
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111191161113711
Maksymilian Rus
Away
2.90
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:26 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
4111191161113711
H2H Jerzy Pelka 10–2 Maksymilian Rus Maksymilian Rus has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:26What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Pelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-2 in 12
Pelka
Wrong
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1404 vs Rus 1148
Pelka
Wrong
both rated, 256 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 40% vs Rus 20%
Pelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 60% vs Rus 30%
Pelka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -2 · Rus -3
Rus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Pelka) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rus form (20%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.32 / Rus 2.90
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Pelka)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13138127
Pelka1.32
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 83 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it63% 58 of 92
Rus2.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 71 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka8wins
AwayRus2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPelka leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka83.3%5 of 6
AwayRus25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka6Rus4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S2Pelka7Rus3n = 10Pelka took 7 of 10
S3Pelka7Rus3n = 10Pelka took 7 of 10
S4Pelka3Rus1n = 4Pelka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaRusP − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.629.6+7.0per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaRusBasisWin rate · lifetime432 / 924 vs 128 / 40046.8%32%432 / 924 vs 128 / 400Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.32/Rus 2.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 11:30J. Pelka331111113M. Rus229850
LAug 25 · 07:10J. Pelka35117891M. Rus3521111113
WJul 14 · 11:30J. Pelka331111113M. Rus187920
WJul 14 · 07:10J. Pelka52991112113M. Rus47111171082
LJul 9 · 14:20J. Pelka2485110M. Rus351111133
WJul 9 · 06:20J. Pelka351113113M. Rus2481150
WApr 21 · 12:20J. Pelka48911611113M. Rus4011511492
WApr 21 · 08:20J. Pelka341211113M. Rus2310580
WFeb 10 · 16:30J. Pelka331111113M. Rus168440
WFeb 10 · 10:30J. Pelka3961111113M. Rus36119791
J. Pelka10
LSep 16 · 09:05J. Pelka1.399118121B. Madej2.6511411143LSep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka1.72111110662M. Sikon2.00151211113WSep 16 · 06:45P. Kurek1.809111181J. Pelka1.9111139113WSep 16 · 05:55J. Pelka2.601111113K. Hetnar1.414680LSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113WSep 11 · 12:40M. Baron1.73711111172J. Pelka2.00111376113WSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113LSep 11 · 11:00J. Pelka1.50861111112O. Sokolowski2.50111148133WSep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.7511611113O. Jadach1.40311891WSep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53513119113P. Slosarczyk2.38111181182
M. Rus10
LSep 16 · 09:30P. Kurek1.261211113M. Rus3.2510740LSep 16 · 08:45M. Rus4.30811118152K. Hetnar1.16116811173LSep 16 · 07:10M. Rus2.60711115142M. Sikon1.41115911163WSep 16 · 06:20B. Madej1.74981191M. Rus1.9511116113LSep 9 · 17:05M. Rus3.85510100K. Adamus1.191112123LSep 9 · 15:30M. Rus2.557950W. Buczynski1.411111113WSep 9 · 14:20M. Rus1.92912149113B. Madej1.731110121152WSep 9 · 12:45M. Rus2.701113123S. Juzek1.37811100LSep 9 · 11:30M. Rus2.9011440W. Urban1.331311113LSep 9 · 10:20S. Juzek1.41811911153M. Rus2.60114113132
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