TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138681
Played Sep 16Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9119111012––––
Mateusz Sikon
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
9119111012––––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 0–1 Mateusz Sikon Jerzy Pelka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Sikon beat Pelka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:18What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (54%)
Pelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1353 vs Sikon 1376
Sikon
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 0% vs Sikon 60%
Sikon
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 40% vs Sikon 60%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -5 · Sikon +2
Pelka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pelka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelka form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.67 / Sikon 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Pelka)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13138681
Pelka1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 83 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it63% 58 of 92
Sikon2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 96 of 284
Down 0–1, comes back15% 26 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePelka0wins
AwaySikon1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSikon leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPelkaSikonP − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.040.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 923 vs 163 / 42246.5%38.6%429 / 923 vs 163 / 422Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.67/Sikon 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka44111110662M. Sikon40151211113
J. Pelka10
LSep 16 · 12:45M. Rus3.001111113J. Pelka1.308880LSep 16 · 11:55J. Pelka2.6051270K. Hetnar1.421114113LSep 16 · 10:20J. Pelka1.32411111172M. Rus2.90119613113LSep 16 · 09:05J. Pelka1.399118121B. Madej2.6511411143LSep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka1.72111110662M. Sikon2.00151211113WSep 16 · 06:45P. Kurek1.809111181J. Pelka1.9111139113WSep 16 · 05:55J. Pelka2.601111113K. Hetnar1.414680LSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113WSep 11 · 12:40M. Baron1.73711111172J. Pelka2.00111376113WSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113
M. Sikon10
WSep 16 · 13:10P. Kurek1.65611671M. Sikon2.0511911113WSep 16 · 11:30M. Rus2.601311141172M. Sikon1.41159163113LSep 16 · 10:40B. Madej2.25111157113M. Sikon1.5884111112LSep 16 · 09:55K. Hetnar1.3311119153M. Sikon2.858611131WSep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka1.72111110662M. Sikon2.00151211113WSep 16 · 07:10M. Rus2.60711115142M. Sikon1.41115911163LSep 16 · 05:30P. Kurek1.571111113M. Sikon2.257960LSep 15 · 13:55M. Sikon2.75281271P. Gumulinski1.40111110113WSep 15 · 12:40M. Sikon2.101131211113P. Przewlocki1.6791114592WSep 15 · 11:25M. Sikon3.251110119113K. Slawinski1.3391251192
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