TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138687
Played Sep 16Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119611711––
Mateusz Sikon
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:19 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
611119611711––
H2H Pawel Kurek 18–4 Mateusz Sikon Mateusz Sikon has won 4 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Kurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-4 in 22
Kurek
Wrong
gap of 14 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1405 vs Sikon 1363
Kurek
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 40% vs Sikon 60%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 60% vs Sikon 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek -1 · Sikon +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 1.65 / Sikon 2.05
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kurek)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13138687
Kurek1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 208 of 317
Up 2–0, closes it94% 96 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it84% 144 of 171
Sikon2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 96 of 284
Down 0–1, comes back15% 26 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurek8wins
AwaySikon2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurek80%4 of 5
AwaySikon20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek5Sikon5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurek7Sikon3n = 10Kurek took 7 of 10
S3Kurek8Sikon2n = 10Kurek took 8 of 10
S4Kurek6Sikon2n = 8Kurek took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurekSikonK − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.634.7+5.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 813 vs 162 / 42150.3%38.5%409 / 813 vs 162 / 421Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekKurek 1.65/Sikon 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 05:30P. Kurek331111113M. Sikon227960
WSep 14 · 13:55P. Kurek3811511113M. Sikon32411981
WSep 14 · 04:10P. Kurek44101211113M. Sikon321210281
WSep 10 · 09:50P. Kurek3851111113M. Sikon27116461
WSep 10 · 05:50P. Kurek50981111113M. Sikon4711119882
LSep 8 · 24:50P. Kurek35811881M. Sikon4211911113
WSep 7 · 17:30P. Kurek4491111133M. Sikon331174111
WSep 7 · 03:55P. Kurek48111213123M. Sikon4381411101
WSep 6 · 21:55P. Kurek331111113M. Sikon186660
LSep 3 · 14:40P. Kurek43111161052M. Sikon51891112113
P. Kurek10
LSep 16 · 12:20B. Madej3.104111111113P. Kurek1.2911913972WSep 16 · 11:05P. Kurek2.2512611113K. Hetnar1.571011771WSep 16 · 09:30P. Kurek1.261211113M. Rus3.2510740LSep 16 · 08:20P. Kurek1.3171060B. Madej2.951112113LSep 16 · 06:45P. Kurek1.809111181J. Pelka1.9111139113WSep 16 · 05:30P. Kurek1.571111113M. Sikon2.257960WSep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon2.50411981P. Kurek1.5011511113WSep 14 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.386980P. Kurek1.531111113WSep 14 · 12:15P. Kurek2.38811114113L. Oracz1.5311871162LSep 14 · 10:35P. Kurek2.63101111992K. Slawinski1.44129311113
M. Sikon10
WSep 16 · 13:55J. Pelka1.6799100M. Sikon2.001111123WSep 16 · 11:30M. Rus2.601311141172M. Sikon1.41159163113LSep 16 · 10:40B. Madej2.25111157113M. Sikon1.5884111112LSep 16 · 09:55K. Hetnar1.3311119153M. Sikon2.858611131WSep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka1.72111110662M. Sikon2.00151211113WSep 16 · 07:10M. Rus2.60711115142M. Sikon1.41115911163LSep 16 · 05:30P. Kurek1.571111113M. Sikon2.257960LSep 15 · 13:55M. Sikon2.75281271P. Gumulinski1.40111110113WSep 15 · 12:40M. Sikon2.101131211113P. Przewlocki1.6791114592LSep 14 · 13:55M. Sikon2.50411981P. Kurek1.5011511113
Upcoming Matches
P. Kurek
Sep 16 · 14:45P. Kurek2.32K. Hetnar1.49—Sep 16 · 15:30P. Kurek1.24M. Rus3.40—Sep 16 · 16:20P. Kurek1.66J. Pelka2.05—Sep 17 · 03:25P. Kurek1.80W. Ptak1.91—Sep 17 · 04:10P. Kurek1.22I. Szymanski4.00—Sep 17 · 05:15P. Kurek2.38P. Gumulinski1.53—Sep 17 · 06:30P. Kurek1.14K. Kowalski5.00—Sep 17 · 07:45P. Kurek2.20L. Oracz1.61—Sep 17 · 09:25P. Kurek1.80W. Ptak1.91—Sep 17 · 10:10P. Kurek2.20L. Oracz1.61—
M. Sikon
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