TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134821
Played Sep 16Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111139111113––
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:28 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 74 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 81.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 1–8 Piotr Gumulinski Igor Szymanski has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Gumulinski
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1154 vs Gumulinski 1413
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 259 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Gumulinski 60%
Gumulinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 10% vs Gumulinski 70%
Gumulinski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -1 · Gumulinski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 4.50 / Gumulinski 1.17
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Gumulinski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13134821
Szymanski4.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog21% won 77 of 361
Down 0–1, comes back11% 26 of 246
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 177
Gumulinski1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 346 of 566
Up 2–0, closes it94% 158 of 168
Up 1–0, closes it77% 235 of 307
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayGumulinski8wins
2 of 9 to a deciderGumulinski leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski0%0 of 3
AwayGumulinski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski3Gumulinski6n = 9Gumulinski took 6 of 9
S2Szymanski4Gumulinski5n = 9Gumulinski took 5 of 9
S3Szymanski2Gumulinski7n = 9Gumulinski took 7 of 9
S4Szymanski2Gumulinski5n = 7Gumulinski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSzymanskiGumulinskiS − GBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match36.343.0−6.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 397 vs 1024 / 182622.9%56.1%91 / 397 vs 1024 / 1826Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiSzymanski 4.50/Gumulinski 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.8%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 17 · 03:30I. Szymanski32911481P. Gumulinski4111811113
LAug 16 · 21:30I. Szymanski33911130P. Gumulinski391113153
LAug 11 · 01:50I. Szymanski28511120P. Gumulinski381113143
LAug 10 · 18:20I. Szymanski379414101P. Gumulinski46111112123
LJul 22 · 12:15I. Szymanski33117781P. Gumulinski4181111113
LJul 22 · 08:35I. Szymanski50131110882P. Gumulinski511161211113
LJul 10 · 15:55I. Szymanski4311981142P. Gumulinski49711119113
WJul 10 · 09:55I. Szymanski4251412113P. Gumulinski4111121081
LJun 18 · 05:40I. Szymanski293115101P. Gumulinski4111711123
I. Szymanski10
LSep 16 · 09:50K. Adamus1.221111113I. Szymanski4.006790WSep 16 · 08:35I. Szymanski3.751191511113W. Urban1.2591117892LSep 16 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.50711751P. Przewlocki1.2811811113LSep 16 · 05:40I. Szymanski5.0010830K. Adamus1.141211113LSep 16 · 04:10I. Szymanski3.755870R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 16 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.004670P. Gumulinski1.221111113LSep 15 · 04:40I. Szymanski3.652850G. Marud1.211111113LSep 15 · 03:05K. Schaniel1.2615127113I. Szymanski3.2513101181LSep 15 · 01:50K. Adamus1.171111113I. Szymanski4.058870LSep 15 · 01:10I. Szymanski4.0112791152S. Szostok1.211011118113
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 16 · 11:25R. Gajda2.0011880P. Gumulinski1.731311113WSep 16 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.75771171P. Gumulinski1.4011118113WSep 16 · 08:10K. Adamus2.00121198102P. Gumulinski1.731091111123LSep 16 · 07:20W. Urban2.10911811123P. Gumulinski1.67119117102WSep 16 · 05:15R. Gajda2.20611841P. Gumulinski1.6111911113LSep 16 · 04:30P. Przewlocki2.251111113P. Gumulinski1.579490WSep 16 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.004670P. Gumulinski1.221111113WSep 15 · 13:55M. Sikon2.75281271P. Gumulinski1.40111110113WSep 15 · 13:05M. Baron1.83116111192P. Gumulinski1.83711139113WSep 15 · 12:15P. Gumulinski1.8311811113K. Hetnar1.83811681
Upcoming Matches
I. Szymanski
Sep 16 · 12:15I. Szymanski3.50W. Urban1.28—Sep 16 · 13:05I. Szymanski3.50P. Przewlocki1.28—Sep 16 · 13:55I. Szymanski4.33R. Gajda1.20—Sep 17 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.50P. Gumulinski1.17—Sep 17 · 04:10I. Szymanski4.00P. Kurek1.22—Sep 17 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.28K. Kowalski3.50—Sep 17 · 06:55I. Szymanski5.00L. Oracz1.14—Sep 17 · 08:35I. Szymanski2.75W. Ptak1.40—Sep 17 · 09:50I. Szymanski1.28K. Kowalski3.50—Sep 17 · 10:35I. Szymanski4.50P. Gumulinski1.17—
P. Gumulinski
Sep 16 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.61W. Urban2.20—Sep 16 · 14:20P. Gumulinski1.91K. Adamus1.80—Sep 17 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.17I. Szymanski4.50—Sep 17 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.80L. Oracz1.91—Sep 17 · 05:15P. Gumulinski1.57P. Kurek2.25—Sep 17 · 08:10P. Gumulinski1.13K. Kowalski5.50—Sep 17 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.80L. Oracz1.91—Sep 17 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.17I. Szymanski4.50—Sep 17 · 11:25P. Gumulinski1.57P. Kurek2.25—Sep 17 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.67W. Ptak2.10—
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