TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134813
Played Sep 16Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611711––––
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:29 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 81.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 1–8 Piotr Gumulinski Igor Szymanski has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Gumulinski
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1165 vs Gumulinski 1392
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Gumulinski 60%
Gumulinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 30% vs Gumulinski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -4 · Gumulinski +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Gumulinski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 4.00 / Gumulinski 1.22
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Gumulinski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13134813
Szymanski4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog22% won 77 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back11% 26 of 243
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 174
Gumulinski1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 344 of 562
Up 2–0, closes it94% 156 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it76% 233 of 305
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayGumulinski8wins
2 of 9 to a deciderGumulinski leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski0%0 of 3
AwayGumulinski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski3Gumulinski6n = 9Gumulinski took 6 of 9
S2Szymanski4Gumulinski5n = 9Gumulinski took 5 of 9
S3Szymanski2Gumulinski7n = 9Gumulinski took 7 of 9
S4Szymanski2Gumulinski5n = 7Gumulinski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSzymanskiGumulinskiS − GBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match36.343.0−6.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 391 vs 1022 / 182223%56.1%90 / 391 vs 1022 / 1822Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.139.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiSzymanski 4.00/Gumulinski 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 17 · 03:30I. Szymanski32911481P. Gumulinski4111811113
LAug 16 · 21:30I. Szymanski33911130P. Gumulinski391113153
LAug 11 · 01:50I. Szymanski28511120P. Gumulinski381113143
LAug 10 · 18:20I. Szymanski379414101P. Gumulinski46111112123
LJul 22 · 12:15I. Szymanski33117781P. Gumulinski4181111113
LJul 22 · 08:35I. Szymanski50131110882P. Gumulinski511161211113
LJul 10 · 15:55I. Szymanski4311981142P. Gumulinski49711119113
WJul 10 · 09:55I. Szymanski4251412113P. Gumulinski4111121081
LJun 18 · 05:40I. Szymanski293115101P. Gumulinski4111711123
I. Szymanski10
LSep 15 · 04:40I. Szymanski3.652850G. Marud1.211111113LSep 15 · 03:05K. Schaniel1.2615127113I. Szymanski3.2513101181LSep 15 · 01:50K. Adamus1.171111113I. Szymanski4.058870LSep 15 · 01:10I. Szymanski4.0112791152S. Szostok1.211011118113WSep 15 · 24:10I. Szymanski4.60613914113O. Jadach1.131111111272LSep 14 · 22:40I. Szymanski3.65211491G. Marud1.2111511113WSep 14 · 21:05K. Schaniel1.267550I. Szymanski3.251111113LSep 14 · 20:20O. Jadach1.151111113I. Szymanski4.407620WSep 14 · 19:30I. Szymanski4.551111710113S. Szostok1.1469111282LSep 14 · 18:20I. Szymanski4.256420K. Adamus1.161111113
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 15 · 13:55M. Sikon2.75281271P. Gumulinski1.40111110113WSep 15 · 13:05M. Baron1.83116111192P. Gumulinski1.83711139113WSep 15 · 12:15P. Gumulinski1.8311811113K. Hetnar1.83811681LSep 15 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.91761321K. Slawinski1.80111111113LSep 15 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.75137912113P. Gumulinski1.401111111072LSep 15 · 08:35P. Gumulinski2.107780K. Hetnar1.671111113WSep 15 · 06:55P. Gumulinski1.83139426133M. Baron1.8311111124112LSep 15 · 05:40P. Gumulinski1.40581191P. Przewlocki2.7511119113LSep 15 · 04:10P. Gumulinski1.3311891162M. Sikon3.25711115113LSep 15 · 03:00P. Gumulinski1.911011561K. Slawinski1.8012911113
Upcoming Matches
I. Szymanski
Sep 16 · 05:40I. Szymanski3.75K. Adamus1.25—Sep 16 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.50P. Przewlocki1.28—Sep 16 · 08:35I. Szymanski3.75W. Urban1.25—Sep 16 · 09:50I. Szymanski3.75K. Adamus1.25—Sep 16 · 10:35I. Szymanski4.00P. Gumulinski1.22—Sep 16 · 12:15I. Szymanski3.75W. Urban1.25—Sep 16 · 13:05I. Szymanski3.50P. Przewlocki1.28—Sep 16 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.75R. Gajda1.25—
P. Gumulinski
Sep 16 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—Sep 16 · 05:15P. Gumulinski1.61R. Gajda2.20—Sep 16 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.67W. Urban2.10—Sep 16 · 08:10P. Gumulinski1.73K. Adamus2.00—Sep 16 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—Sep 16 · 10:35P. Gumulinski1.22I. Szymanski4.00—Sep 16 · 11:25P. Gumulinski1.61R. Gajda2.20—Sep 16 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.67W. Urban2.10—Sep 16 · 14:20P. Gumulinski1.73K. Adamus2.00—
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