TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130465
Played Sep 15Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
3.65
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211811511––––
Grzegorz Marud
Away
1.21
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:31 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Marud to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
211811511––––
H2H Igor Szymanski 0–3 Grzegorz Marud Igor Szymanski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Marud beat Szymanski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:31What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.21 (75%)
Marud
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Marud
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1170 vs Marud 1490
Marud
Correct
both rated, 319 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Marud 80%
Marud
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 30% vs Marud 60%
Marud
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -3 · Marud +2
Szymanski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Marud) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 3.65 / Marud 1.21
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Marud)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13130465
Szymanski3.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog22% won 77 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back11% 26 of 243
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 174
Marud1.21
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 126 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it86% 76 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it71% 102 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSzymanski0wins
AwayMarud3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMarud leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMarud100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski0Marud3n = 3Marud took 3 of 3
S2Szymanski1Marud2n = 3Marud took 2 of 3
S3Szymanski1Marud2n = 3Marud took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSzymanskiMarudS − MBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match25.740.3−14.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiMarudBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 390 vs 643 / 136223.1%47.2%90 / 390 vs 643 / 1362Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarudSzymanski 3.65/Marud 1.21
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.9%
Marud · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Marud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 14 · 22:40I. Szymanski26211491G. Marud3811511113
LSep 1 · 22:10I. Szymanski154380G. Marud331111113
LSep 1 · 19:40I. Szymanski3636121142G. Marud501111107113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 15 · 03:05K. Schaniel1.2615127113I. Szymanski3.2513101181LSep 15 · 01:50K. Adamus1.171111113I. Szymanski4.058870LSep 15 · 01:10I. Szymanski4.0112791152S. Szostok1.211011118113WSep 15 · 24:10I. Szymanski4.60613914113O. Jadach1.131111111272LSep 14 · 22:40I. Szymanski3.65211491G. Marud1.2111511113WSep 14 · 21:05K. Schaniel1.267550I. Szymanski3.251111113LSep 14 · 20:20O. Jadach1.151111113I. Szymanski4.407620WSep 14 · 19:30I. Szymanski4.551111710113S. Szostok1.1469111282LSep 14 · 18:20I. Szymanski4.256420K. Adamus1.161111113LSep 14 · 02:45I. Szymanski4.708460P. Polok1.131111113
G. Marud10
WSep 15 · 03:55S. Szostok2.17771211122G. Marud1.621111105143WSep 15 · 01:30K. Schaniel1.9711128942G. Marud1.689101111113LSep 15 · 24:50O. Jadach1.5712211113G. Marud2.161011701WSep 14 · 23:30K. Adamus1.70116871G. Marud1.9671111113WSep 14 · 22:40I. Szymanski3.65211491G. Marud1.2111511113LSep 14 · 21:55S. Szostok1.58511811113G. Marud2.1411811642LSep 14 · 19:55K. Schaniel2.009111411113G. Marud1.7111216382LSep 14 · 19:10K. Adamus1.8211118113G. Marud1.88771161WSep 14 · 17:30O. Jadach1.5721190G. Marud2.151113113WSep 14 · 04:40G. Marud1.711111133O. Vincenec2.0084110
Upcoming Matches
I. Szymanski
Nothing scheduled
G. Marud
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