TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134823
Played Sep 16Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141161113115––
Igor Szymanski
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRafal Gajda above · Igor Szymanski below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Rafal Gajda at 81.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Gajda 10–0 Igor Szymanski Igor Szymanski has won 0 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:27What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Gajda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-0 in 10
Gajda
Correct
gap of 10 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1333 vs Szymanski 1153
Gajda
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 60% vs Szymanski 20%
Gajda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 50% vs Szymanski 10%
Gajda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda +1 · Szymanski -4
Szymanski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Gajda) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.20 / Szymanski 4.33
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Gajda)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13134823
Gajda1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 151 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it75% 105 of 140
Szymanski4.33
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog21% won 77 of 361
Down 0–1, comes back11% 26 of 246
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGajda10wins
AwaySzymanski0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGajda leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda100%7 of 7
AwaySzymanski0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda7Szymanski3n = 10Gajda took 7 of 10
S2Gajda10Szymanski0n = 10Gajda took 10 of 10
S3Gajda8Szymanski2n = 10Gajda took 8 of 10
S4Gajda2Szymanski1n = 3Gajda took 2 of 3
S5Gajda3Szymanski0n = 3Gajda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGajdaSzymanskiG − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.327.7+11.6per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime421 / 819 vs 91 / 40051.4%22.8%421 / 819 vs 91 / 400Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.433.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGajda 1.20/Szymanski 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 04:10R. Gajda331111113I. Szymanski205870
WSep 3 · 13:55R. Gajda331111113I. Szymanski177370
WSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda496111110113I. Szymanski3511131282
WAug 25 · 08:20R. Gajda57913811163I. Szymanski521111115142
WJul 16 · 12:15R. Gajda361111143I. Szymanski2475120
WJul 16 · 08:35R. Gajda521012512133I. Szymanski5412101110112
WJul 9 · 09:25R. Gajda341211113I. Szymanski1810440
WJul 9 · 03:25R. Gajda331111113I. Szymanski186930
WJul 2 · 13:55R. Gajda331111113I. Szymanski182970
WJul 2 · 04:10R. Gajda331111113I. Szymanski216780
R. Gajda10
WSep 16 · 12:40R. Gajda1.831191112113K. Adamus1.83131191092LSep 16 · 11:25R. Gajda2.0011880P. Gumulinski1.731311113WSep 16 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.80101150R. Gajda1.911213113LSep 16 · 09:25R. Gajda1.831013891W. Urban1.83121111113WSep 16 · 07:45R. Gajda1.73118138113P. Przewlocki2.00511111182LSep 16 · 06:30R. Gajda1.8310880K. Adamus1.831211113LSep 16 · 05:15R. Gajda2.20611841P. Gumulinski1.6111911113WSep 16 · 04:10I. Szymanski3.755870R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 16 · 03:25R. Gajda1.918111011113W. Urban1.8011412772LSep 15 · 16:20M. Adamus1.969111111143R. Gajda1.70113135122
I. Szymanski10
LSep 16 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.28891114113I. Szymanski3.50111141292LSep 16 · 12:15I. Szymanski3.50111231162W. Urban1.28814119113LSep 16 · 10:35I. Szymanski4.505119111P. Gumulinski1.1711311133LSep 16 · 09:50K. Adamus1.221111113I. Szymanski4.006790WSep 16 · 08:35I. Szymanski3.751191511113W. Urban1.2591117892LSep 16 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.50711751P. Przewlocki1.2811811113LSep 16 · 05:40I. Szymanski5.0010830K. Adamus1.141211113LSep 16 · 04:10I. Szymanski3.755870R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 16 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.004670P. Gumulinski1.221111113LSep 15 · 04:40I. Szymanski3.652850G. Marud1.211111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Gajda
Nothing scheduled
I. Szymanski
Sep 17 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.50P. Gumulinski1.17—Sep 17 · 04:10I. Szymanski4.00P. Kurek1.22—Sep 17 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.28K. Kowalski3.50—Sep 17 · 06:55I. Szymanski5.00L. Oracz1.14—Sep 17 · 08:35I. Szymanski2.75W. Ptak1.40—Sep 17 · 09:50I. Szymanski1.28K. Kowalski3.50—Sep 17 · 10:35I. Szymanski4.50P. Gumulinski1.17—Sep 17 · 12:15I. Szymanski2.75W. Ptak1.40—Sep 17 · 13:05I. Szymanski5.00L. Oracz1.14—Sep 17 · 13:55I. Szymanski4.00P. Kurek1.22—
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