Rafal Gajda vs Wojciech Urban 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13137378

Played Sep 16Finished

Rafal Gajda

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

10121311811911––

Wojciech Urban

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:47 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%

Graded at full time

Wojciech Urban to win

58.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingRafal Gajda above · Wojciech Urban below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 85 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Wojciech Urban at 58.6%

85 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 22:47

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Urban

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Gajda 1329 vs Urban 1426

Urban

Correct

both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Gajda 40% vs Urban 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Gajda 30% vs Urban 50%

Urban

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Gajda +1 · Urban -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Urban form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGajda 1.83 / Urban 1.83

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Urban)+4.0pp

TT Elite Series · #13137378

Gajda1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Urban1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricGajdaUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 815 vs 759 / 160751.4%47.2%419 / 815 vs 759 / 1607Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Urban

Gajda 1.83/Urban 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Urban · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Urban won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

R. Gajda10