TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13131135
Played Sep 15Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9116111210411––
Rafal Idaczyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
9116111210411––
H2H Wojciech Urban 5–10 Rafal Idaczyk Wojciech Urban has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:02What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Idaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Idaczyk
Correct
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1474 vs Idaczyk 1403
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 80% vs Idaczyk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 70% vs Idaczyk 50%
Urban
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban +2 · Idaczyk +3
Idaczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Idaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Idaczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 1.86 / Idaczyk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Idaczyk)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13131135
Urban1.86
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 214 of 524
Down 0–1, comes back19% 53 of 285
Down 0–2, comes back6% 11 of 172
Idaczyk1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 107 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it96% 66 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it81% 87 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrban3wins
AwayIdaczyk7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderIdaczyk leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayIdaczyk87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban2Idaczyk8n = 10Idaczyk took 8 of 10
S2Urban3Idaczyk7n = 10Idaczyk took 7 of 10
S3Urban6Idaczyk4n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S4Urban1Idaczyk5n = 6Idaczyk took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbanIdaczykU − IBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.936.1−4.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanIdaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime757 / 1601 vs 482 / 96347.3%50.1%757 / 1601 vs 482 / 963Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IdaczykUrban 1.86/Idaczyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Idaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 07:10W. Urban31961241R. Idaczyk43111110113
LSep 10 · 09:25W. Urban204970R. Idaczyk331111113
LSep 10 · 03:20W. Urban2256110R. Idaczyk351111133
WSep 8 · 12:40W. Urban331111113R. Idaczyk164930
WSep 8 · 06:30W. Urban4514911113R. Idaczyk361211761
LAug 15 · 04:25W. Urban36911791R. Idaczyk3811511113
LAug 14 · 04:25W. Urban2578100R. Idaczyk341111123
LJul 21 · 06:05W. Urban30771241R. Idaczyk43111110113
WJul 18 · 11:25W. Urban49811118113R. Idaczyk4011851152
LJun 25 · 04:25W. Urban28551261R. Idaczyk43111110113
W. Urban10
WSep 15 · 06:00W. Urban1.2891111113M. Cesarz3.15112791WSep 15 · 04:25W. Urban1.581111113A. Ruszkiewicz2.136840LSep 15 · 03:10W. Urban1.60126491J. Kaczmarek2.10101111113WSep 12 · 14:40W. Urban1.801112117113Z. Sobkow1.9161461182WSep 12 · 13:05W. Urban1.361111113P. Slosarczyk3.007670LSep 12 · 11:50W. Urban2.75811811102A. Cichocki1.40119118123LSep 12 · 10:10W. Urban2.1071190K. Juszczyk1.671113113WSep 12 · 09:00W. Urban1.8011611113M. Paszkiewicz1.91511991WSep 10 · 14:40L. Oracz1.738990W. Urban2.001111113WSep 10 · 13:30W. Urban2.63811811123K. Slawinski1.44117116102
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 15 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.61151311173J. Nowak2.1513155151WSep 15 · 04:50R. Idaczyk1.491113113J. Kaczmarek2.3431160WSep 15 · 04:00M. Cesarz3.303131121R. Idaczyk1.2611159113LSep 11 · 08:00R. Idaczyk2.353690M. Lebek1.501111113WSep 11 · 06:45R. Idaczyk1.90511118113M. Adamus1.8011981172WSep 11 · 05:35R. Idaczyk1.341111113R. Komandzik3.005660LSep 11 · 04:25Y. Fomin1.801311113R. Idaczyk1.8611850LSep 11 · 03:35R. Idaczyk1.80912731J. Nowak1.85111011113LSep 10 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.10115921P. Kurek1.6761111113LSep 10 · 12:40R. Idaczyk2.1086100M. Sikon1.671111123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.