TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13132827
Played Sep 15Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012711––––
Karol Jablonski
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Jablonski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
6111012711––––
H2H Rafal Gajda 2–5 Karol Jablonski Rafal Gajda has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:24What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Gajda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Jablonski
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1350 vs Jablonski 1376
Jablonski
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 40% vs Jablonski 60%
Jablonski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 30% vs Jablonski 50%
Jablonski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda -3 · Jablonski +2
Gajda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gajda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.75 / Jablonski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gajda)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13132827
Gajda1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 149 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it92% 68 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it75% 104 of 138
Jablonski1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back28% 13 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGajda2wins
AwayJablonski5wins
5 of 7 to a deciderJablonski leads 5–2, and 5 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda25%1 of 4
AwayJablonski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda4Jablonski3n = 7Gajda took 4 of 7
S2Gajda1Jablonski6n = 7Jablonski took 6 of 7
S3Gajda4Jablonski3n = 7Gajda took 4 of 7
S4Gajda1Jablonski4n = 5Jablonski took 4 of 5
S5Gajda2Jablonski3n = 5Jablonski took 3 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricGajdaJablonskiG − JBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match42.744.9−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaJablonskiBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 806 vs 74 / 16151.5%46%415 / 806 vs 74 / 161Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGajda 1.75/Jablonski 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jablonski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 15 · 05:30R. Gajda2494110K. Jablonski351111133
LJul 28 · 16:20R. Gajda239860K. Jablonski331111113
LJul 28 · 06:45R. Gajda50133111492K. Jablonski551111616113
LJul 21 · 13:55R. Gajda53148111192K. Jablonski511211413113
LJul 21 · 07:55R. Gajda4211128562K. Jablonski474101111113
WJul 15 · 13:10R. Gajda56961119113K. Jablonski50111151762
WJul 15 · 05:30R. Gajda51129118113K. Jablonski43101161152
R. Gajda10
WSep 15 · 14:45R. Gajda3.3011148113M. Durda1.268121121LSep 15 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.751111133R. Gajda1.9888110LSep 15 · 11:05R. Gajda3.309790M. Durda1.261111113LSep 15 · 09:30R. Gajda2.2310980L. Oracz1.541211113WSep 15 · 08:20R. Gajda2.22912118113R. Skotniczny1.54111071162WSep 15 · 06:45R. Gajda1.76711711123M. Adamus1.90119119102LSep 15 · 05:30R. Gajda1.7494110K. Jablonski1.951111133LSep 9 · 13:55P. Przewlocki1.731114113R. Gajda2.0071280LSep 9 · 13:05O. Vincenec2.10711911133R. Gajda1.67118119112LSep 9 · 12:15R. Gajda1.80111451192K. Schaniel1.917121113113
K. Jablonski10
WSep 15 · 13:55M. Adamus1.8301251182K. Jablonski1.831110118113WSep 15 · 11:30L. Oracz1.85118101272K. Jablonski1.809111210113WSep 15 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.489101111112K. Jablonski2.34111268133LSep 15 · 09:55M. Durda1.231111113K. Jablonski3.505550LSep 15 · 07:55M. Adamus1.8381112153K. Jablonski1.8311810131WSep 15 · 07:10L. Oracz1.80911991K. Jablonski1.8511611113WSep 15 · 05:30R. Gajda1.7494110K. Jablonski1.951111133WSep 10 · 16:40J. Pelka1.8311191172K. Jablonski1.81119116113LSep 10 · 15:55O. Jadach1.4717111011113K. Jablonski2.4519912732LSep 10 · 13:55W. Glanowski2.001111113K. Jablonski1.666970
Upcoming Matches
R. Gajda
Sep 15 · 15:30R. Gajda2.15L. Oracz1.57—Sep 15 · 16:20R. Gajda1.70M. Adamus1.96—Sep 16 · 03:25R. Gajda1.91W. Urban1.80—Sep 16 · 04:10R. Gajda1.25I. Szymanski3.75—Sep 16 · 05:15R. Gajda2.20P. Gumulinski1.61—Sep 16 · 06:30R. Gajda1.83K. Adamus1.83—Sep 16 · 07:45R. Gajda1.67P. Przewlocki2.10—Sep 16 · 10:10R. Gajda1.67P. Przewlocki2.10—Sep 16 · 11:25R. Gajda2.20P. Gumulinski1.61—Sep 16 · 12:40R. Gajda1.83K. Adamus1.83—
K. Jablonski
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