TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13131734
Played Sep 15Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
2.23
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911811––––
Lukasz Oracz
Away
1.54
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:24 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1012911811––––
H2H Rafal Gajda 12–20 Lukasz Oracz Rafal Gajda has won 12 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:24What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-20 in 32
Oracz
Correct
gap of 8 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1370 vs Oracz 1351
Gajda
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 40% vs Oracz 0%
Gajda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 50% vs Oracz 10%
Gajda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda +2 · Oracz -5
Oracz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 2.23 / Oracz 1.54
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Oracz)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13131734
Gajda2.23
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 124 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back27% 43 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 79
Oracz1.54
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 374 of 585
Up 2–0, closes it97% 203 of 210
Up 1–0, closes it82% 292 of 355
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGajda4wins
AwayOracz6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda66.7%4 of 6
AwayOracz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda6Oracz4n = 10Gajda took 6 of 10
S2Gajda6Oracz4n = 10Gajda took 6 of 10
S3Gajda2Oracz8n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S4Gajda3Oracz5n = 8Oracz took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGajdaOraczG − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.137.1−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 803 vs 828 / 149951.7%55.2%415 / 803 vs 828 / 1499Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczGajda 2.23/Oracz 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 2 · 11:25R. Gajda368117101L. Oracz4011611123
WJul 2 · 05:15R. Gajda3811115113L. Oracz33761191
LJun 16 · 13:55R. Gajda336116101L. Oracz4011611123
LJun 16 · 07:55R. Gajda229670L. Oracz331111113
WJun 3 · 16:40R. Gajda331111113L. Oracz213990
LJun 3 · 10:40R. Gajda25311471L. Oracz4011711113
WMay 26 · 13:10R. Gajda3911611113L. Oracz35811881
WMay 26 · 05:30R. Gajda49117911113L. Oracz4291111652
LMay 20 · 13:10R. Gajda26116541L. Oracz4071111113
LMay 20 · 05:30R. Gajda4011115852L. Oracz47951111113
R. Gajda10
WSep 15 · 08:20R. Gajda2.22912118113R. Skotniczny1.54111071162WSep 15 · 06:45R. Gajda1.76711711123M. Adamus1.90119119102LSep 15 · 05:30R. Gajda1.7494110K. Jablonski1.951111133LSep 9 · 13:55P. Przewlocki1.731114113R. Gajda2.0071280LSep 9 · 13:05O. Vincenec2.10711911133R. Gajda1.67118119112LSep 9 · 12:15R. Gajda1.80111451192K. Schaniel1.917121113113WSep 9 · 10:35R. Gajda2.10117811113P. Gumulinski1.6781111792WSep 9 · 09:50P. Kurek2.10117861R. Gajda1.6761111113WSep 9 · 08:35R. Gajda1.83713611113K. Schaniel1.83111111432LSep 9 · 06:55R. Gajda1.73711211102O. Vincenec2.00116118123
L. Oracz10
LSep 15 · 08:45L. Oracz2.3038100M. Durda1.551111123LSep 15 · 07:10L. Oracz1.80911991K. Jablonski1.8511611113LSep 15 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.861112113L. Oracz1.8051060LSep 14 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.631114113L. Oracz1.4471280LSep 14 · 13:30L. Oracz2.009880K. Slawinski1.731111113LSep 14 · 12:15P. Kurek2.38811114113L. Oracz1.5311871162LSep 14 · 11:00P. Przewlocki1.831111710113L. Oracz1.8358111262WSep 14 · 09:25M. Sikon2.75781131L. Oracz1.4011117113LSep 14 · 08:35P. Kurek2.381411123L. Oracz1.53124100LSep 14 · 07:20L. Oracz2.10108100K. Slawinski1.671211123
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