TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13131136
Played Sep 15Finished
Lukasz Oracz
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116911911––
Karol Jablonski
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Jablonski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
911116911911––
H2H Lukasz Oracz 2–3 Karol Jablonski Lukasz Oracz has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1358 vs Jablonski 1360
Jablonski
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 0% vs Jablonski 40%
Jablonski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 30% vs Jablonski 50%
Jablonski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -5 · Jablonski +2
Oracz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jablonski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.80 / Jablonski 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jablonski)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13131136
Oracz1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 374 of 585
Up 2–0, closes it97% 203 of 210
Up 1–0, closes it82% 292 of 355
Jablonski1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back28% 13 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeOracz2wins
AwayJablonski3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderJablonski leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz66.7%2 of 3
AwayJablonskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz3Jablonski2n = 5Oracz took 3 of 5
S2Oracz1Jablonski4n = 5Jablonski took 4 of 5
S3Oracz2Jablonski3n = 5Jablonski took 3 of 5
S4Oracz3Jablonski2n = 5Oracz took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricOraczJablonskiO − JBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match43.842.8+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczJablonskiBasisWin rate · lifetime828 / 1498 vs 72 / 15855.3%45.6%828 / 1498 vs 72 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JablonskiOracz 1.80/Jablonski 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jablonski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jablonski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 15 · 07:10L. Oracz38911991K. Jablonski3911611113
LJul 12 · 12:45L. Oracz4611791182K. Jablonski49811118113
WJul 12 · 10:20L. Oracz521171013113K. Jablonski46711121152
LFeb 26 · 15:20L. Oracz439151181K. Jablonski4811179113
WFeb 26 · 07:20L. Oracz4011612113K. Jablonski325111061
L. Oracz10
LSep 15 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.861112113L. Oracz1.8051060LSep 14 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.631114113L. Oracz1.4471280LSep 14 · 13:30L. Oracz2.009880K. Slawinski1.731111113LSep 14 · 12:15P. Kurek2.38811114113L. Oracz1.5311871162LSep 14 · 11:00P. Przewlocki1.831111710113L. Oracz1.8358111262WSep 14 · 09:25M. Sikon2.75781131L. Oracz1.4011117113LSep 14 · 08:35P. Kurek2.381411123L. Oracz1.53124100LSep 14 · 07:20L. Oracz2.10108100K. Slawinski1.671211123WSep 14 · 06:05J. Kaczmarek3.0059110L. Oracz1.361111133WSep 14 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.00871181L. Oracz1.7311118113
K. Jablonski10
LSep 15 · 07:55M. Adamus1.8381112153K. Jablonski1.8311810131WSep 15 · 05:30R. Gajda1.7494110K. Jablonski1.951111133WSep 10 · 16:40J. Pelka1.8311191172K. Jablonski1.81119116113LSep 10 · 15:55O. Jadach1.4717111011113K. Jablonski2.4519912732LSep 10 · 13:55W. Glanowski2.001111113K. Jablonski1.666970LSep 10 · 13:10K. Adamus1.5013911113K. Jablonski2.311111761LSep 10 · 11:30K. Hetnar1.6011116113K. Jablonski2.15941161LSep 10 · 10:40J. Pelka1.83117117113K. Jablonski1.8191171152WSep 10 · 09:55O. Jadach1.709101181K. Jablonski2.0011126113WSep 10 · 07:55W. Glanowski1.801114731K. Jablonski1.8551611113
Upcoming Matches
L. Oracz
Sep 15 · 08:45L. Oracz2.60M. Durda1.41—Sep 15 · 09:30L. Oracz1.54R. Gajda2.23—Sep 15 · 10:20L. Oracz1.50M. Adamus2.40—Sep 15 · 11:30L. Oracz1.48K. Jablonski2.35—Sep 15 · 12:45L. Oracz1.50M. Adamus2.30—Sep 15 · 14:20L. Oracz1.84R. Skotniczny1.79—Sep 15 · 15:30L. Oracz1.57R. Gajda2.15—Sep 15 · 17:05L. Oracz2.60M. Durda1.39—
K. Jablonski
Sep 15 · 09:55K. Jablonski3.50M. Durda1.23—Sep 15 · 10:40K. Jablonski2.34R. Skotniczny1.48—Sep 15 · 11:30K. Jablonski2.35L. Oracz1.48—Sep 15 · 13:10K. Jablonski1.93R. Gajda1.72—Sep 15 · 13:55K. Jablonski1.82M. Adamus1.81—Sep 15 · 15:55K. Jablonski3.50M. Durda1.23—Sep 15 · 16:40K. Jablonski2.34R. Skotniczny1.48—
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