TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13131738
Played Sep 15Finished
Lukasz Oracz
Home
2.30
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3118111012––––
Michal Durda
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:25 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Durda to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
3118111012––––
H2H Lukasz Oracz 2–0 Michal Durda Michal Durda has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Durda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1358 vs Durda 1567
Durda
Correct
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 0% vs Durda 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 20% vs Durda 40%
Durda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -5 · Durda -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Durda form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 2.30 / Durda 1.55
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Durda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13131738
Oracz2.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 120 of 282
Down 0–1, comes back22% 34 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 86
Durda1.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 183 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it98% 91 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it92% 129 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOracz2wins
AwayDurda0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderOracz leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOraczDurdaO − DBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.031.5+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczDurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime828 / 1498 vs 194 / 25255.3%77%828 / 1498 vs 194 / 252Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaOracz 2.30/Durda 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Durda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 29 · 09:00L. Oracz331111113M. Durda216870
WJul 29 · 04:30L. Oracz47511119113M. Durda4211781152
L. Oracz10
WSep 15 · 09:30R. Gajda2.2310980L. Oracz1.541211113LSep 15 · 07:10L. Oracz1.80911991K. Jablonski1.8511611113LSep 15 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.861112113L. Oracz1.8051060LSep 14 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.631114113L. Oracz1.4471280LSep 14 · 13:30L. Oracz2.009880K. Slawinski1.731111113LSep 14 · 12:15P. Kurek2.38811114113L. Oracz1.5311871162LSep 14 · 11:00P. Przewlocki1.831111710113L. Oracz1.8358111262WSep 14 · 09:25M. Sikon2.75781131L. Oracz1.4011117113LSep 14 · 08:35P. Kurek2.381411123L. Oracz1.53124100LSep 14 · 07:20L. Oracz2.10108100K. Slawinski1.671211123
M. Durda10
LSep 15 · 07:30R. Skotniczny2.2011611113M. Durda1.57711391LSep 15 · 05:55M. Adamus2.6012113113M. Durda1.421071181LSep 8 · 14:20W. Urban3.4011811133M. Durda1.309117111LSep 8 · 13:30P. Gumulinski2.2511119113M. Durda1.57461141LSep 8 · 11:25R. Idaczyk5.0071111133M. Durda1.141178111WSep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.50412141272M. Durda1.1711101610113LSep 8 · 09:00P. Brozek3.5061111113M. Durda1.28114981WSep 8 · 08:10W. Urban2.75311110M. Durda1.401113133WSep 8 · 07:20P. Gumulinski2.2511911492M. Durda1.57911411113WSep 8 · 05:15R. Idaczyk3.505480M. Durda1.281111113
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