TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13131132
Played Sep 15Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611113119––
Michal Durda
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:02 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Durda to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
117611113119––
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 2–2 Michal Durda Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Durda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skotniczny 1439 vs Durda 1567
Durda
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotniczny 40% vs Durda 20%
Skotniczny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotniczny 40% vs Durda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotniczny +1 · Durda -4
Durda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Durda form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 2.20 / Durda 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Durda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13131132
Skotniczny2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 62 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Durda1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite77% won 183 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it98% 91 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it92% 129 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSkotniczny2wins
AwayDurda2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny66.7%2 of 3
AwayDurdan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny3Durda1n = 4Skotniczny took 3 of 4
S2Skotniczny1Durda3n = 4Durda took 3 of 4
S3Skotniczny2Durda2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSkotnicznyDurdaS − DBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match33.532.2+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznyDurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime594 / 1027 vs 194 / 25257.8%77%594 / 1027 vs 194 / 252Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaSkotniczny 2.20/Durda 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skotniczny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 15 · 07:30R. Skotniczny3911611113M. Durda30711391
LAug 6 · 13:55R. Skotniczny259970M. Durda331111113
LAug 6 · 07:55R. Skotniczny37118991M. Durda4181111113
WJul 14 · 06:55R. Skotniczny331111113M. Durda258980
R. Skotniczny10
LSep 15 · 09:05M. Adamus2.301112123R. Skotniczny1.55910100LSep 15 · 08:20R. Gajda2.22912118113R. Skotniczny1.54111071162WSep 15 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.861112113L. Oracz1.8051060LSep 12 · 08:20R. Skotniczny1.839990K. Adamus1.811111113WSep 12 · 06:45O. Sokolowski3.105870R. Skotniczny1.331111113LSep 12 · 06:00W. Pytlas2.0591111113R. Skotniczny1.64115551LSep 12 · 05:10R. Skotniczny1.809570O. Sokolowski1.851111113LSep 12 · 04:00R. Skotniczny1.38413441P. Mecik2.65111111113WSep 11 · 17:05R. Skotniczny1.601111113P. Kurek2.109970LSep 11 · 15:30R. Skotniczny1.85711110S. Szostok1.801113133
M. Durda10
WSep 15 · 08:45L. Oracz2.3038100M. Durda1.551111123LSep 15 · 05:55M. Adamus2.6012113113M. Durda1.421071181LSep 8 · 14:20W. Urban3.4011811133M. Durda1.309117111LSep 8 · 13:30P. Gumulinski2.2511119113M. Durda1.57461141LSep 8 · 11:25R. Idaczyk5.0071111133M. Durda1.141178111WSep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.50412141272M. Durda1.1711101610113LSep 8 · 09:00P. Brozek3.5061111113M. Durda1.28114981WSep 8 · 08:10W. Urban2.75311110M. Durda1.401113133WSep 8 · 07:20P. Gumulinski2.2511911492M. Durda1.57911411113WSep 8 · 05:15R. Idaczyk3.505480M. Durda1.281111113
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