TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13132840
Played Sep 15Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
3.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Michal Durda
Away
1.26
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:27 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Durda to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
911711911––––
H2H Rafal Gajda 1–9 Michal Durda Rafal Gajda has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (72%)
Durda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-9 in 10
Durda
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1356 vs Durda 1582
Durda
Correct
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 40% vs Durda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 50% vs Durda 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda -1 · Durda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Durda form (40%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 3.30 / Durda 1.26
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Durda)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13132840
Gajda3.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 124 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back27% 43 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 79
Durda1.26
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite77% won 183 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it98% 91 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it92% 129 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGajda1wins
AwayDurda9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDurda leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajdan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDurda87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda2Durda8n = 10Durda took 8 of 10
S2Gajda5Durda5n = 10split evenly
S3Gajda5Durda5n = 10split evenly
S4Gajda1Durda7n = 8Durda took 7 of 8
S5Gajda0Durda3n = 3Durda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGajdaDurdaG − DBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.441.5−6.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaDurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 804 vs 196 / 25451.6%77.2%415 / 804 vs 196 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaGajda 3.30/Durda 1.26
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.7%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Durda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 12:40R. Gajda44111111113M. Durda37138791
LAug 18 · 06:30R. Gajda33811681M. Durda3611311113
LAug 4 · 09:50R. Gajda48101111792M. Durda48125911113
LAug 4 · 05:40R. Gajda4211512772M. Durda496111011113
LJul 30 · 10:35R. Gajda35871281M. Durda43111110113
LJul 30 · 03:00R. Gajda2461350M. Durda371115113
LJul 23 · 10:35R. Gajda37615881M. Durda46111311113
LJul 23 · 03:00R. Gajda29611391M. Durda4211911113
LJul 16 · 13:05R. Gajda198740M. Durda331111113
LJul 16 · 06:55R. Gajda43115111152M. Durda44411513113
R. Gajda10
WSep 15 · 14:45R. Gajda3.3011148113M. Durda1.268121121LSep 15 · 13:10R. Gajda1.7561070K. Jablonski1.951112113LSep 15 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.751111133R. Gajda1.9888110LSep 15 · 09:30R. Gajda2.2310980L. Oracz1.541211113WSep 15 · 08:20R. Gajda2.22912118113R. Skotniczny1.54111071162WSep 15 · 06:45R. Gajda1.76711711123M. Adamus1.90119119102LSep 15 · 05:30R. Gajda1.7494110K. Jablonski1.951111133LSep 9 · 13:55P. Przewlocki1.731114113R. Gajda2.0071280LSep 9 · 13:05O. Vincenec2.10711911133R. Gajda1.67118119112LSep 9 · 12:15R. Gajda1.80111451192K. Schaniel1.917121113113
M. Durda10
LSep 15 · 14:45R. Gajda3.3011148113M. Durda1.268121121LSep 15 · 13:30R. Skotniczny2.2581412113M. Durda1.5711121091LSep 15 · 11:55M. Adamus2.6511119113M. Durda1.40891161WSep 15 · 09:55M. Durda1.231111113K. Jablonski3.505550WSep 15 · 08:45L. Oracz2.3038100M. Durda1.551111123LSep 15 · 07:30R. Skotniczny2.2011611113M. Durda1.57711391LSep 15 · 05:55M. Adamus2.6012113113M. Durda1.421071181LSep 8 · 14:20W. Urban3.4011811133M. Durda1.309117111LSep 8 · 13:30P. Gumulinski2.2511119113M. Durda1.57461141LSep 8 · 11:25R. Idaczyk5.0071111133M. Durda1.141178111
Upcoming Matches
R. Gajda
Sep 15 · 15:30R. Gajda2.15L. Oracz1.57—Sep 15 · 16:20R. Gajda1.70M. Adamus1.96—Sep 16 · 03:25R. Gajda1.91W. Urban1.80—Sep 16 · 04:10R. Gajda1.25I. Szymanski3.75—Sep 16 · 05:15R. Gajda2.10P. Gumulinski1.67—Sep 16 · 06:30R. Gajda1.83K. Adamus1.83—Sep 16 · 07:45R. Gajda1.67P. Przewlocki2.10—Sep 16 · 10:10R. Gajda1.67P. Przewlocki2.10—Sep 16 · 11:25R. Gajda2.20P. Gumulinski1.61—Sep 16 · 12:40R. Gajda1.83K. Adamus1.83—
M. Durda
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.