TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134822
Played Sep 16Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181614118––––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 68 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Wojciech Urban at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 9–8 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:26What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1380 vs Urban 1435
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 40% vs Urban 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 40% vs Urban 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +1 · Urban +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.83 / Urban 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Urban)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13134822
Przewlocki1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Urban1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki5wins
AwayUrban5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlockin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayUrban62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki2Urban8n = 10Urban took 8 of 10
S2Przewlocki9Urban1n = 10Przewlocki took 9 of 10
S3Przewlocki4Urban6n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S4Przewlocki3Urban5n = 8Urban took 5 of 8
S5Przewlocki3Urban2n = 5Przewlocki took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiUrbanP − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match42.342.7−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime523 / 1098 vs 758 / 160547.6%47.2%523 / 1098 vs 758 / 1605Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanPrzewlocki 1.83/Urban 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 06:05P. Przewlocki381116113W. Urban3081480
WSep 8 · 09:50P. Przewlocki571313119113W. Urban51151171172
LSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki214890W. Urban331111113
LSep 7 · 09:25P. Przewlocki521011121182W. Urban52127148113
WJul 14 · 21:00P. Przewlocki4413119113W. Urban341191131
LJul 14 · 16:35P. Przewlocki4491111582W. Urban50118911113
LJun 9 · 02:45P. Przewlocki401311881W. Urban4615911113
LJun 8 · 23:05P. Przewlocki34911771W. Urban4011711113
WMay 11 · 02:20P. Przewlocki43411611113W. Urban4411611792
WMay 10 · 18:20P. Przewlocki50611139113W. Urban47119111152
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 16 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.50711751P. Przewlocki1.2811811113WSep 16 · 04:30P. Przewlocki2.251111113P. Gumulinski1.579490LSep 16 · 03:50K. Adamus1.671111113P. Przewlocki2.108680LSep 15 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.009660K. Slawinski1.731111113LSep 15 · 12:40M. Sikon2.101131211113P. Przewlocki1.6791114592WSep 15 · 11:50M. Baron2.20121381082P. Przewlocki1.6110111112113LSep 15 · 11:00P. Przewlocki2.384440K. Hetnar1.531111113WSep 15 · 09:50P. Przewlocki2.75137912113P. Gumulinski1.401111111072LSep 15 · 08:10P. Przewlocki2.2011580K. Slawinski1.611311113LSep 15 · 06:30M. Sikon1.7316817113P. Przewlocki2.0014111591
W. Urban10
WSep 16 · 04:55K. Adamus1.67117891W. Urban2.1091111113LSep 16 · 03:25R. Gajda1.918111011113W. Urban1.8011412772LSep 15 · 08:45W. Urban1.5711471172J. Nowak2.17711118113LSep 15 · 07:10W. Urban1.86961241R. Idaczyk1.83111110113WSep 15 · 06:00W. Urban1.2891111113M. Cesarz3.15112791WSep 15 · 04:25W. Urban1.581111113A. Ruszkiewicz2.136840LSep 15 · 03:10W. Urban1.60126491J. Kaczmarek2.10101111113WSep 12 · 14:40W. Urban1.801112117113Z. Sobkow1.9161461182WSep 12 · 13:05W. Urban1.361111113P. Slosarczyk3.007670LSep 12 · 11:50W. Urban2.75811811102A. Cichocki1.40119118123
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