Kamil Kowalski vs Wiktor Ptak 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140138

Played Sep 17Finished

Kamil Kowalski

Home

3.75

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

115611117118––

Wiktor Ptak

Away

1.25

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:56 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%

Graded at full time

Wiktor Ptak to win

75.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingKamil Kowalski above · Wiktor Ptak below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Wiktor Ptak at 75.0%

70 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:56

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.25 (75%)

Ptak

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kowalski 1017 vs Ptak 1324

Ptak

Wrong

both rated, 307 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kowalski 20% vs Ptak 20%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kowalski 20% vs Ptak 40%

Ptak

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kowalski +1 · Ptak -3

Ptak

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Ptak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Ptak form (20%) is below what odds imply (80%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKowalski 3.75 / Ptak 1.25

Signal prob.25% / 75%

Edge (Ptak)+0.0pp

TT Elite Series · #13140138

Kowalski3.75

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog15% won 19 of 123

Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 80

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 54

Ptak1.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite63% won 56 of 89

Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35

Up 1–0, closes it83% 47 of 57

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKowalskiPtakBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 131 vs 76 / 13614.5%55.9%19 / 131 vs 76 / 136Avg sets wonper match1.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.438.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Ptak

Kowalski 3.75/Ptak 1.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

75%

Ptak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kowalski won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

K. Kowalski10