TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136414
Played Sep 16Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111191113115711
Danylo Us
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeDanylo Us to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 98 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Danylo Us at 63.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ishchyk 2–7 Danylo Us Pavlo Ishchyk has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:05What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Us
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Us
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1348 vs Us 1385
Us
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 40% vs Us 0%
Ishchyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 20% vs Us 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk +1 · Us -5
Us
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Us)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Us form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 2.25 / Us 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Us)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13136414
Ishchyk2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 28 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Us1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 31 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeIshchyk2wins
AwayUs7wins
5 of 9 to a deciderUs leads 7–2, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIshchyk0%0 of 3
AwayUs66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ishchyk3Us6n = 9Us took 6 of 9
S2Ishchyk3Us6n = 9Us took 6 of 9
S3Ishchyk4Us5n = 9Us took 5 of 9
S4Ishchyk3Us5n = 8Us took 5 of 8
S5Ishchyk2Us3n = 5Us took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricIshchykUsI − UBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match41.642.7−1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykUsBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 158 vs 202 / 48534.2%41.7%54 / 158 vs 202 / 485Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UsIshchyk 2.25/Us 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Us · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Us won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 3 · 17:55P. Ishchyk381259121D. Us46101111143
WJun 18 · 17:25P. Ishchyk52911912113D. Us44116111062
LJun 10 · 15:55P. Ishchyk4061171152D. Us46119114113
LJun 8 · 19:25P. Ishchyk49911126112D. Us491141011133
LMay 26 · 17:55P. Ishchyk371197101D. Us3841111123
LMay 5 · 17:55P. Ishchyk218670D. Us331111113
LApr 27 · 19:25P. Ishchyk35791181D. Us4211119113
LApr 20 · 19:25P. Ishchyk48117111092D. Us44411612113
WApr 8 · 15:55P. Ishchyk5411101111113D. Us4213121972
P. Ishchyk10
LSep 16 · 15:55Y. Stepanchuk1.6761113113P. Ishchyk2.101181191WSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.73911511113M. Skliar2.0011911652LSep 14 · 17:55A. Peretiatko2.2551111113P. Ishchyk1.57119961WSep 14 · 16:55P. Ishchyk1.9161111113M. Fomin1.80116861LSep 14 · 15:55M. Polysynskyi1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.208790LSep 14 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.0011512992D. Kim1.739111011113LSep 7 · 19:25O. Melashenko1.401111113P. Ishchyk2.757990LSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123LSep 7 · 17:25P. Ishchyk2.20831191H. Kulishov1.6111115113LSep 7 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.831159121V. Kobets1.8361111143
D. Us10
WSep 16 · 15:25D. Us1.67118133113A. Lifanov2.10911111192LSep 9 · 04:05S. Pitsyk1.44111210113D. Us2.637101241LSep 9 · 02:35D. Us2.3811351252O. Naida1.538111110113LSep 9 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.301112153D. Us3.40010130LSep 8 · 22:35D. Rehotun1.671111113D. Us2.108990LSep 8 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi1.67102111113D. Us2.101219661LSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113WSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113WSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.