TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126850
Played Sep 14Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611116118116––
Mykyta Fomin
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykyta Fomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Mykyta Fomin at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ishchyk 0–1 Mykyta Fomin Pavlo Ishchyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1328 vs Fomin 1504
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 0% vs Fomin 40%
Fomin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 0% vs Fomin 70%
Fomin
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk -5 · Fomin +1
Ishchyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 1.91 / Fomin 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fomin)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13126850
Ishchyk1.91
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 27 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Fomin1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 41 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it63% 29 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeIshchyk0wins
AwayFomin1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderFomin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricIshchykFominI − FBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match54.057.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykFominBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 155 vs 279 / 57233.6%48.8%52 / 155 vs 279 / 572Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominIshchyk 1.91/Fomin 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ishchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 30 · 17:25P. Ishchyk541111111382M. Fomin571313911113
P. Ishchyk10
LSep 14 · 15:55M. Polysynskyi1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.208790LSep 14 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.0011512992D. Kim1.739111011113LSep 7 · 19:25O. Melashenko1.401111113P. Ishchyk2.757990LSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123LSep 7 · 17:25P. Ishchyk2.20831191H. Kulishov1.6111115113LSep 7 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.831159121V. Kobets1.8361111143LSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113
M. Fomin10
WSep 14 · 14:55A. Peretiatko1.676650M. Fomin2.101111113LSep 14 · 13:55M. Polysynskyi2.001112711113M. Fomin1.73131011782LSep 11 · 03:35M. Fomin1.837790A. Peretiatko1.831111113WSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.838111451M. Fomin1.8311616113LSep 11 · 24:35M. Fomin2.2081171132D. Kim1.61117114113WSep 10 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.80713871M. Fomin1.91111111113WSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370WSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113WSep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin2.20861111113D. Kim1.6111118992WSep 10 · 24:35Y. Stepanchuk1.67111141062M. Fomin2.10361112113
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