TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105786
Played Sep 11Finished
Mykyta Fomin
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711911––––
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Fomin 21–26 Andrii Peretiatko Mykyta Fomin has won 21 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:34What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Peretiatko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-26 in 47
Peretiatko
Correct
gap of 5 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1508 vs Peretiatko 1488
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 80% vs Peretiatko 40%
Fomin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 70% vs Peretiatko 40%
Fomin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +1 · Peretiatko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.83 / Peretiatko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fomin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105786
Fomin1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Peretiatko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin5wins
AwayPeretiatko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin66.7%4 of 6
AwayPeretiatko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin6Peretiatko4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S2Fomin6Peretiatko4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S3Fomin3Peretiatko7n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S4Fomin2Peretiatko3n = 5Peretiatko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominPeretiatkoF − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.336.4−2.1per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 569 vs 363 / 77748.9%46.7%278 / 569 vs 363 / 777Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.83/Peretiatko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 02:35M. Fomin—1216113A. Peretiatko—101480
LSep 3 · 22:05M. Fomin—111981A. Peretiatko—81111113
WSep 1 · 24:35M. Fomin—1111143A. Peretiatko—67120
LAug 31 · 24:35M. Fomin—410120A. Peretiatko—1112143
WAug 24 · 21:35M. Fomin—11119133A. Peretiatko—8411111
LAug 17 · 22:05M. Fomin—6460A. Peretiatko—1111113
LAug 14 · 01:05M. Fomin—12126972A. Peretiatko—10101111113
WAug 12 · 22:35M. Fomin—121185113A. Peretiatko—106111182
WAug 11 · 24:35M. Fomin—61111113A. Peretiatko—117571
LAug 7 · 02:35M. Fomin—8760A. Peretiatko—1111113
M. Fomin10
WSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.838111451M. Fomin1.8311616113LSep 11 · 24:35M. Fomin2.2081171132D. Kim1.61117114113WSep 10 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.80713871M. Fomin1.91111111113WSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370WSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113WSep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin2.20861111113D. Kim1.6111118992WSep 10 · 24:35Y. Stepanchuk1.67111141062M. Fomin2.10361112113WSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252LSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 11 · 02:35D. Kim2.20381181A. Peretiatko1.6111119113LSep 11 · 01:05H. Kulishov1.501011118113A. Peretiatko2.5012751162LSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102LSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192WSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113LSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291WSep 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83811131042A. Peretiatko1.831161112113LSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113
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