TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105797
Played Sep 10Finished
Hryhorii Kulishov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111311811711––
Mykyta Fomin
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykyta Fomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 79 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Mykyta Fomin at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 18–27 Mykyta Fomin Hryhorii Kulishov has won 18 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-27 in 45
Fomin
Correct
gap of 9 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1510 vs Fomin 1508
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 40% vs Fomin 100%
Fomin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 50% vs Fomin 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov -2 · Fomin +5
Fomin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.80 / Fomin 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kulishov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105797
Kulishov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 191 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it95% 108 of 114
Up 1–0, closes it74% 145 of 196
Fomin1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 97 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back14% 11 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulishov5wins
AwayFomin5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFomin50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov2Fomin8n = 10Fomin took 8 of 10
S2Kulishov6Fomin4n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Kulishov5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S4Kulishov4Fomin4n = 8split evenly
S5Kulishov2Fomin1n = 3Kulishov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulishovFominK − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.138.1+1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovFominBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 943 vs 277 / 56751.2%48.9%483 / 943 vs 277 / 567Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKulishov 1.80/Fomin 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 23:35H. Kulishov—713871M. Fomin—111111113
LSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov—111191262M. Fomin—461114113
LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov—7990M. Fomin—1111113
WSep 3 · 03:35H. Kulishov—711113113M. Fomin—11751172
LAug 31 · 23:35H. Kulishov—7870M. Fomin—1111113
LAug 31 · 04:05H. Kulishov—7811101M. Fomin—11115123
WAug 21 · 02:35H. Kulishov—11118113M. Fomin—781141
WAug 19 · 20:25H. Kulishov—61114113M. Fomin—1171261
WAug 14 · 03:05H. Kulishov—111211113M. Fomin—1310761
WAug 13 · 04:05H. Kulishov—7121111123M. Fomin—111444102
H. Kulishov10
LSep 10 · 21:35H. Kulishov1.839111171D. Kim1.8311713113LSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113WSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar4.009190H. Kulishov1.221111113LSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982WSep 9 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.8391111113D. Kim1.83117881LSep 9 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113H. Kulishov1.80712591WSep 7 · 19:55V. Kobets2.2510590H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 7 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.806171251H. Kulishov1.91111514113WSep 7 · 17:25P. Ishchyk2.20831191H. Kulishov1.6111115113LSep 7 · 15:25O. Naida1.7311119113H. Kulishov2.00361141
M. Fomin10
WSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370WSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113WSep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin2.20861111113D. Kim1.6111118992WSep 10 · 24:35Y. Stepanchuk1.67111141062M. Fomin2.10361112113WSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252LSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171WSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141LSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110
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