TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105820
Played Sep 10Finished
Mykyta Fomin
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113117––––
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:37 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeMykyta Fomin to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 49 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Mykyta Fomin at 54.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Fomin 1–3 Mykhailo Skliar Mykyta Fomin has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Skliar
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1486 vs Skliar 1348
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 80% vs Skliar 40%
Fomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 50% vs Skliar 20%
Fomin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +4 · Skliar -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.67 / Skliar 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Fomin)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13105820
Fomin1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 49 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it64% 36 of 56
Skliar2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog25% won 16 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFomin1wins
AwaySkliar3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderSkliar leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFominn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySkliar66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin1Skliar3n = 4Skliar took 3 of 4
S2Fomin2Skliar2n = 4split evenly
S3Fomin2Skliar2n = 4split evenly
S4Fomin1Skliar3n = 4Skliar took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFominSkliarF − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match37.844.8−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 565 vs 59 / 11948.7%49.6%275 / 565 vs 59 / 119Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.67/Skliar 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 9 · 21:35M. Fomin—12811252M. Skliar—1011211113
LSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin—681121M. Skliar—11119113
LAug 31 · 22:05M. Fomin—911871M. Skliar—11911113
WAug 24 · 22:35M. Fomin—6131011113M. Skliar—111112792
M. Fomin10
WSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113WSep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin2.20861111113D. Kim1.6111118992WSep 10 · 24:35Y. Stepanchuk1.67111141062M. Fomin2.10361112113WSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252LSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171WSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141LSep 7 · 23:05D. Us2.101111133M. Fomin1.6799110LSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791
M. Skliar10
LSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192LSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar4.009190H. Kulishov1.221111113LSep 10 · 01:05M. Skliar2.501210111182D. Kim1.50141299113WSep 9 · 23:35M. Skliar3.40611113113Y. Stepanchuk1.3011891122WSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123
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