TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100888
Played Sep 10Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141012119119811
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 107 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 62.9%
107 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 1–4 Dmitriy Kim Mykhailo Skliar has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Kim
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1368 vs Kim 1541
Kim
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 40% vs Kim 80%
Kim
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 20% vs Kim 60%
Kim
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar +2 · Kim -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 2.50 / Kim 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Kim)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100888
Skliar2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 14 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Kim1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 80 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSkliar1wins
AwayKim4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKim leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkliarn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKim66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skliar2Kim3n = 5Kim took 3 of 5
S2Skliar1Kim4n = 5Kim took 4 of 5
S3Skliar2Kim3n = 5Kim took 3 of 5
S4Skliar2Kim2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSkliarKimS − KBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match33.640.0−6.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarKimBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 116 vs 486 / 100950.9%48.2%59 / 116 vs 486 / 1009Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimSkliar 2.50/Kim 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar—1081281D. Kim—121110113
LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar—6670D. Kim—1111113
LAug 31 · 23:05M. Skliar—111191142D. Kim—513116113
LAug 28 · 02:35M. Skliar—137431D. Kim—111111113
WAug 25 · 01:35M. Skliar—41211113D. Kim—1110841
M. Skliar10
WSep 9 · 23:35M. Skliar3.40611113113Y. Stepanchuk1.3011891122WSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962
D. Kim10
LSep 9 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.8391111113D. Kim1.83117881WSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.8091390D. Kim1.911115113WSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171WSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.73115581D. Kim2.0091111113WSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291LSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim1.80101311113D. Us1.911211771LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113
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