TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106165
Played Sep 11Finished
Mykyta Fomin
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117711114311
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 84 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 60.9%
84 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Fomin 15–34 Dmitriy Kim Mykyta Fomin has won 15 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:24What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-34 in 49
Kim
Correct
gap of 19 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1508 vs Kim 1542
Kim
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 100% vs Kim 60%
Fomin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 70% vs Kim 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +5 · Kim +2
Fomin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.20 / Kim 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kim)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13106165
Fomin2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 97 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back14% 11 of 79
Kim1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 81 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it79% 55 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin4wins
AwayKim6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin75%3 of 4
AwayKim83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S2Fomin1Kim9n = 10Kim took 9 of 10
S3Fomin6Kim4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S4Fomin5Kim3n = 8Fomin took 5 of 8
S5Fomin2Kim2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominKimF − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.241.2−3.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominKimBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 567 vs 489 / 101348.9%48.3%277 / 567 vs 489 / 1013Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimFomin 2.20/Kim 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin—861111113D. Kim—11118992
LSep 8 · 03:35M. Fomin—6101171D. Kim—11129113
WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin—146119123D. Kim—1211911102
WSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin—11811123D. Kim—9114101
LSep 1 · 03:35M. Fomin—7990D. Kim—1111113
WAug 30 · 21:35M. Fomin—11711113D. Kim—111971
LAug 25 · 24:35M. Fomin—411491D. Kim—11711113
LAug 21 · 04:05M. Fomin—7780D. Kim—1111113
LAug 19 · 14:25M. Fomin—6101111102D. Kim—111275123
LAug 18 · 24:35M. Fomin—111151162D. Kim—913119113
M. Fomin10
WSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.838111451M. Fomin1.8311616113WSep 10 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.80713871M. Fomin1.91111111113WSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370WSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113WSep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin2.20861111113D. Kim1.6111118992WSep 10 · 24:35Y. Stepanchuk1.67111141062M. Fomin2.10361112113WSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252LSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171WSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113
D. Kim10
WSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113WSep 10 · 21:35H. Kulishov1.839111171D. Kim1.8311713113LSep 10 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk1.8011118113D. Kim1.91571181LSep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin2.20861111113D. Kim1.6111118992WSep 10 · 01:05M. Skliar2.501210111182D. Kim1.50141299113LSep 9 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.8391111113D. Kim1.83117881WSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.8091390D. Kim1.911115113WSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim1.6111129113M. Fomin2.206101171WSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.73115581D. Kim2.0091111113WSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291
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