TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105754
Played Sep 10Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111157111181210
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 92 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 69.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 0–4 Andrii Peretiatko Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:26What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Peretiatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1339 vs Peretiatko 1498
Peretiatko
Wrong
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 20% vs Peretiatko 40%
Peretiatko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 20% vs Peretiatko 60%
Peretiatko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar -4 · Peretiatko -1
Skliar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Peretiatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 2.75 / Peretiatko 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Peretiatko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13105754
Skliar2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog25% won 16 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Peretiatko1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 73 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it87% 40 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it71% 55 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSkliar0wins
AwayPeretiatko4wins
Peretiatko leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skliar2Peretiatko2n = 4split evenly
S2Skliar0Peretiatko4n = 4Peretiatko took 4 of 4
S3Skliar0Peretiatko4n = 4Peretiatko took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricSkliarPeretiatkoS − PBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match30.038.8−8.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 120 vs 362 / 77449.2%46.8%59 / 120 vs 362 / 774Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoSkliar 2.75/Peretiatko 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skliar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar—9770A. Peretiatko—1111113
LSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar—1210781A. Peretiatko—101211113
LAug 28 · 24:35M. Skliar—1291171A. Peretiatko—101113113
LAug 25 · 03:05M. Skliar—9930A. Peretiatko—1111113
M. Skliar10
LSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370LSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192LSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar4.009190H. Kulishov1.221111113LSep 10 · 01:05M. Skliar2.501210111182D. Kim1.50141299113WSep 9 · 23:35M. Skliar3.40611113113Y. Stepanchuk1.3011891122WSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431
A. Peretiatko10
LSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192WSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113LSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291WSep 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83811131042A. Peretiatko1.831161112113LSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113
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