TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126754
Played Sep 14Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117119––––
Pavlo Ishchyk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Polysynskyi to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Pavlo Ishchyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Mykola Polysynskyi at 58.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 7–3 Pavlo Ishchyk Pavlo Ishchyk has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Polysynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Polysynskyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1437 vs Ishchyk 1328
Polysynskyi
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 40% vs Ishchyk 0%
Polysynskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 30% vs Ishchyk 0%
Polysynskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi +1 · Ishchyk -5
Ishchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Polysynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 1.61 / Ishchyk 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Polysynskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13126754
Polysynskyi1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 76 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it74% 56 of 76
Ishchyk2.20
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 27 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi7wins
AwayIshchyk3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPolysynskyi leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi100%4 of 4
AwayIshchyk50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi4Ishchyk6n = 10Ishchyk took 6 of 10
S2Polysynskyi4Ishchyk6n = 10Ishchyk took 6 of 10
S3Polysynskyi7Ishchyk3n = 10Polysynskyi took 7 of 10
S4Polysynskyi5Ishchyk2n = 7Polysynskyi took 5 of 7
S5Polysynskyi4Ishchyk1n = 5Polysynskyi took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiIshchykP − IBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.039.6+0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiIshchykBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 691 vs 52 / 15551.7%33.6%357 / 691 vs 52 / 155Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolysynskyiPolysynskyi 1.61/Ishchyk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Polysynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polysynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 15:55M. Polysynskyi331111113P. Ishchyk248790
LMay 18 · 19:25M. Polysynskyi369101161P. Ishchyk4011126113
LMay 11 · 17:25M. Polysynskyi145540P. Ishchyk331111113
WMay 5 · 14:25M. Polysynskyi41211611113P. Ishchyk4411611792
LApr 27 · 16:25M. Polysynskyi48910111262P. Ishchyk501112610113
WApr 20 · 13:25M. Polysynskyi501171110113P. Ishchyk4661181292
WApr 13 · 18:25M. Polysynskyi501013511113P. Ishchyk47121111852
WApr 8 · 19:55M. Polysynskyi521171111123P. Ishchyk47131167102
WMar 30 · 18:25M. Polysynskyi361213113P. Ishchyk29101180
WMar 23 · 14:25M. Polysynskyi4011711113P. Ishchyk36911971
M. Polysynskyi10
WSep 14 · 13:55M. Polysynskyi2.001112711113M. Fomin1.73131011782LSep 14 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.00113671S. Pitsyk1.7391111113WSep 14 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.67119511113Y. Sokoltsov2.1091111182LSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113LSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113WSep 13 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831111113M. Skliar1.834870LSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.2512530H. Kulishov1.571411113LSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.838111451M. Fomin1.8311616113LSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113LSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113
P. Ishchyk10
LSep 14 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.0011512992D. Kim1.739111011113LSep 7 · 19:25O. Melashenko1.401111113P. Ishchyk2.757990LSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123LSep 7 · 17:25P. Ishchyk2.20831191H. Kulishov1.6111115113LSep 7 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.831159121V. Kobets1.8361111143LSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113LAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.209780
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.