TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121924
Played Sep 13Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118117––––
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:09 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Skliar to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Mykhailo Skliar at 57.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 0–1 Mykhailo Skliar Mykola Polysynskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skliar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1411 vs Skliar 1353
Polysynskyi
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 20% vs Skliar 40%
Skliar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 30% vs Skliar 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi -4 · Skliar -2
Polysynskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polysynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 1.83 / Skliar 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polysynskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13121924
Polysynskyi1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Skliar1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePolysynskyi0wins
AwaySkliar1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSkliar leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPolysynskyiSkliarP − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.050.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 690 vs 61 / 12451.5%49.2%355 / 690 vs 61 / 124Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolysynskyiPolysynskyi 1.83/Skliar 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polysynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polysynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi4151111772M. Skliar50118911113
M. Polysynskyi10
LSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.2512530H. Kulishov1.571411113LSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.838111451M. Fomin1.8311616113LSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113LSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113WSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192WSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.73115581D. Kim2.0091111113LSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113LSep 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83811131042A. Peretiatko1.831161112113WSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791
M. Skliar10
LSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.009650D. Kim1.731111113LSep 11 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.2211711113M. Skliar4.00611961WSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113WSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102LSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370LSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192LSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar4.009190H. Kulishov1.221111113LSep 10 · 01:05M. Skliar2.501210111182D. Kim1.50141299113WSep 9 · 23:35M. Skliar3.40611113113Y. Stepanchuk1.3011891122WSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252
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