TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105718
Played Sep 11Finished
Hryhorii Kulishov
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711119116––
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 77.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 5–0 Mykhailo Skliar Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Kulishov
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1520 vs Skliar 1368
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 40% vs Skliar 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 50% vs Skliar 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov +1 · Skliar +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.22 / Skliar 4.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Kulishov)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105718
Kulishov1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 191 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it95% 108 of 114
Up 1–0, closes it74% 145 of 196
Skliar4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog25% won 16 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKulishov5wins
AwaySkliar0wins
Kulishov leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishov100%3 of 3
AwaySkliarn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov3Skliar2n = 5Kulishov took 3 of 5
S2Kulishov5Skliar0n = 5Kulishov took 5 of 5
S3Kulishov5Skliar0n = 5Kulishov took 5 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKulishovSkliarK − SBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.024.0+13.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 944 vs 61 / 12251.3%50%484 / 944 vs 61 / 122Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKulishov 1.22/Skliar 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 10 · 02:05H. Kulishov—1111113M. Skliar—9190
WSep 6 · 22:05H. Kulishov—1111123M. Skliar—36100
WSep 2 · 23:05H. Kulishov—1111113M. Skliar—8650
WSep 1 · 02:05H. Kulishov—91111123M. Skliar—1154101
WAug 28 · 04:05H. Kulishov—81211113M. Skliar—1110751
H. Kulishov10
WSep 11 · 01:05H. Kulishov1.501011118113A. Peretiatko2.5012751162LSep 10 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.80713871M. Fomin1.91111111113LSep 10 · 21:35H. Kulishov1.839111171D. Kim1.8311713113LSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113WSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar4.009190H. Kulishov1.221111113LSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982WSep 9 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.8391111113D. Kim1.83117881LSep 9 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113H. Kulishov1.80712591WSep 7 · 19:55V. Kobets2.2510590H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 7 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.806171251H. Kulishov1.91111514113
M. Skliar10
WSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113WSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102LSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370LSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192LSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar4.009190H. Kulishov1.221111113LSep 10 · 01:05M. Skliar2.501210111182D. Kim1.50141299113WSep 9 · 23:35M. Skliar3.40611113113Y. Stepanchuk1.3011891122WSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961
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